Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 12/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sorrento (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Sorrento (W)1.66
Subiaco AFC (W)1.9
1X2
Sorrento (W)
Draw
Subiaco AFC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sorrento (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Subiaco AFC (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sorrento (W)
1–3
Subiaco AFC (W)
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorrento (W) 1428 · Subiaco AFC (W) 1472
| Sorrento (W) | Draw | Subiaco AFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Subiaco AFC (W) (rating 1428 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Subiaco AFC (W): 3-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sorrento (W) | Subiaco AFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento (W) 1–0–3 Subiaco AFC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Subiaco AFC (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sorrento (W) |
| 22/03/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Sorrento (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Subiaco AFC (W) |
| 21/02/26 Australia Friendlies | Sorrento (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Subiaco AFC (W) |
| 19/05/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women | Sorrento (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Subiaco AFC (W) |
Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth SC (W) | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 36 |
| 2 | Fremantle City FC (W) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Balcatta FC (W) | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Perth Redstar FC (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | Hyundai NTC Women | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 17 |
| 6 | Subiaco AFC (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 7 | Sorrento (W) | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 9 |
| 8 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 38 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sorrento (W) | Subiaco AFC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Balcatta FC (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Perth Redstar FC (W) | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Fremantle City FC (W) | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Perth SC (W) | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Hyundai NTC Women | 1-1 D | 6-4 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sorrento (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorrento (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Subiaco AFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 6-4 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorrento (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Subiaco AFC (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Sorrento (W) 33%, draw 24%, Subiaco AFC (W) 43%.
How many goals are expected in Sorrento (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Sorrento (W) 1.66 · Subiaco AFC (W) 1.9), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sorrento (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.