Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 26/07, 09:00

Prediction: Perth SC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Perth SC (W)2.66

Subiaco AFC (W)0.66

1X2

81% 13% 6%

Perth SC (W) Draw Subiaco AFC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Perth SC (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Subiaco AFC (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLDWL

Head-to-head

Perth SC (W) 5–1–0 Subiaco AFC (W) (6 last)

Subiaco AFC (W)0-5Perth SC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)2-3Perth SC (W)
Perth SC (W)2-0Subiaco AFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC (W) 1660 · Subiaco AFC (W) 1445

	Perth SC (W)	Draw	Subiaco AFC (W)
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	83%	11%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth SC (W) (rating 1660 vs 1445).
H2H favours Perth SC (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth SC (W)	Subiaco AFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 0.2	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.5	3.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	1.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.11

X8.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.98

2 (+2.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:06 +8’	1.11	8.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC (W) 5–1–0 Subiaco AFC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	0-5 HT 0-1	Perth SC (W)
09/05/26 Australia WA State Cup Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	2-3 HT 1-2	Perth SC (W)
29/03/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Subiaco AFC (W)
03/08/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Perth SC (W)
08/06/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	5-0 HT 1-0	Subiaco AFC (W)
13/04/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Subiaco AFC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	16	13	3	0	35	4	42
2	Fremantle City FC (W)	16	10	3	3	36	16	33
3	Balcatta FC (W)	16	9	5	2	36	13	32
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	15	6	4	5	25	18	22
5	Hyundai NTC Women	16	4	5	7	25	31	17
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	15	4	2	9	17	31	14
7	Sorrento (W)	16	2	3	11	15	39	9
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	16	1	3	12	7	44	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth SC (W)	Subiaco AFC (W)
Fremantle City FC (W)	3-0 W	0-2 L
Sorrento (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	4-1 W	0-0 D
Perth Redstar FC (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Balcatta FC (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Hyundai NTC Women	3-0 W	6-4 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Perth SC (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Perth SC (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
17/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
11/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-1	4-1	9	3	W
05/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
28/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
20/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
14/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
07/06	Fremantle City 2 Women Australia WA State Cup Women	6-0	8-0	10	0	W
31/05	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	8	0	W
24/05	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	5-0	5	4	W

Subiaco AFC (W)

WLLLLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
12/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
28/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
20/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	6-4	10	1	W
31/05	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
24/05	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-5	5	4	L
17/05	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
09/05	Perth SC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
03/05	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Perth SC (W) 81%, draw 13%, Subiaco AFC (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Perth SC (W) 2.66 · Subiaco AFC (W) 0.66), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.