Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 12/07, 09:00

Prediction: Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)

Expected goals: 3.45 (Fremantle City FC (W) 1.77 · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1.67). The model gives 40% home, 24% draw, 36% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Fremantle City FC (W) is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Perth Redstar FC (W) 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Fremantle City FC (W) and 3 for Perth Redstar FC (W), with 1 draw.

40%1
40% 24% 36%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fremantle City FC (W) 1545 · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1509
Fremantle City FC (W)DrawPerth Redstar FC (W)
Our model40%24%36%
Market40%24%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.45Fremantle City FC (W) 1.77 · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1.67
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Perth Redstar FC (W): 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fremantle City FC (W)Perth Redstar FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.31.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.70.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.42.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1 / 0.11.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremantle City FC (W) 213 Perth Redstar FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Australia WA Premier League Women
Perth Redstar FC (W)1-2
HT 0-0
Fremantle City FC (W)
22/03/26
Australia WA Premier League Women
Fremantle City FC (W)2-2
HT 1-2
Perth Redstar FC (W)
15/03/26
Australia Friendlies
Fremantle City FC (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Perth Redstar FC (W)
21/02/26
Australia Friendlies
Fremantle City FC (W)2-3
HT 2-0
Perth Redstar FC (W)
03/08/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
Fremantle City FC (W)2-3
HT 2-2
Perth Redstar FC (W)
08/06/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
Perth Redstar FC (W)4-1
HT 0-1
Fremantle City FC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Perth SC (W) 141130 30336
2 Fremantle City FC (W) 14833 321627
3 Balcatta FC (W) 14752 301126
4 Perth Redstar FC (W) 13544 221519
5 Hyundai NTC Women 14455 232417
6 Subiaco AFC (W) 13328 162911
7 Sorrento (W) 14239 15379
8 UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 141310 5386

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFremantle City FC (W)Perth Redstar FC (W)
Hyundai NTC Women 2-1 W 1-4 L
Perth SC (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Sorrento (W) 4-3 W 2-2 D
Balcatta FC (W) 0-1 L 2-0 W
Subiaco AFC (W) 2-1 W 1-0 W
UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 5-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fremantle City FC (W)

WLWDWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-1 2-1 81 W
28/06 Perth SC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 1-2 92 L
21/06 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
2-2 4-3 31 W
13/06 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 40 L
31/05 Subiaco AFC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 2-1 21 W
24/05 UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
2-0 5-0 72 W
15/05 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
3-2 3-3 33 D
10/05 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA State Cup Women
4-0 6-0 80 W
03/05 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 41 L
26/04 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 2-1 60 W

Perth Redstar FC (W)

WLLDWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Perth SC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 22 L
28/06 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-1 2-2 63 D
21/06 UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 50 W
31/05 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 1-4 71 L
24/05 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 2-0 54 W
17/05 Subiaco AFC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 52 W
02/05 Perth SC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-1 52 D
26/04 Fremantle City FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-2 50 L
22/04 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-1 1-2 31 L
19/04 UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 4-0 104 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fremantle City FC (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Fremantle City FC (W) 40%, draw 24%, Perth Redstar FC (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Fremantle City FC (W) 1.77 · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1.67), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.