Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 16/08, 09:00

Prediction: Sorrento (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

Team pages: Sorrento (W) · UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Sorrento (W)1.54

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)1.31

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Sorrento (W) Draw UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sorrento (W) 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sorrento (W) 2–2 UWA-Nedlands FC (W) (4 last)

Sorrento (W)0-1UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)1-3Sorrento (W)
Sorrento (W)3-1UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Sorrento (W)1-2UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sorrento (W) 1424 · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1442

	Sorrento (W)	Draw	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	44%	23%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sorrento (W)	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	0.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 1.9	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.25▲	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	2.70 → 2.40▼	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +4’	2.10	3.75	2.70
15:05 +15’	2.05▼	4.00▲	2.70
22:43 +9’	2.25▲	3.90▼	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento (W) 2–0–2 UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Sorrento (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
17/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Sorrento (W)
14/04/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women	Sorrento (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
10/04/23 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women	Sorrento (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	20	14	4	2	42	11	46
2	Balcatta FC (W)	19	12	5	2	46	17	41
3	Fremantle City FC (W)	19	12	3	4	42	18	39
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	19	6	6	7	28	26	24
5	Hyundai NTC Women	20	6	6	8	35	37	24
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	19	6	2	11	26	40	20
7	Sorrento (W)	19	2	4	13	17	48	10
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	19	2	4	13	9	48	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sorrento (W)	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Perth Redstar FC (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Fremantle City FC (W)	0-4 L	1-0 W
Hyundai NTC Women	1-4 L	0-3 L
Perth SC (W)	0-1 L	1-4 L
Subiaco AFC (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Balcatta FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sorrento (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
02/08	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-3	0-4	3	0	L
26/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	1-4	3	1	L
17/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
12/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
05/07	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	0	1	D
28/06	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
21/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	3-4	0	1	L
14/06	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
31/05	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	0	0	L

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
02/08	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	6	0	D
29/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
19/07	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	1	1	L
11/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-2	1-4	0	3	L
05/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	11	0	D
27/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/06	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	0	L
14/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
31/05	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	1	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sorrento (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sorrento (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Sorrento (W) 43%, draw 25%, UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sorrento (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Sorrento (W) 1.54 · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.31), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sorrento (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.