Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 16/08, 09:00

Prediction: Balcatta FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)

Team pages: Balcatta FC (W) · Fremantle City FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Balcatta FC (W)1.79

Fremantle City FC (W)1.46

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Balcatta FC (W) Draw Fremantle City FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Balcatta FC (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Fremantle City FC (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Balcatta FC (W) 3–2–1 Fremantle City FC (W) (6 last)

Fremantle City FC (W)0-1Balcatta FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)3-3Fremantle City FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)2-1Fremantle City FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)2-3Fremantle City FC (W)
Fremantle City FC (W)1-3Balcatta FC (W)
Fremantle City FC (W)2-2Balcatta FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Balcatta FC (W) 1610 · Fremantle City FC (W) 1530

	Balcatta FC (W)	Draw	Fremantle City FC (W)
Our model	45%	25%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Balcatta FC (W) (rating 1610 vs 1530).
H2H favours Balcatta FC (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Balcatta FC (W)	Fremantle City FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 6.7	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:06 +14’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Balcatta FC (W) 3–2–1 Fremantle City FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Balcatta FC (W)
15/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Balcatta FC (W)	3-3 HT 2-3	Fremantle City FC (W)
06/03/26 Australia Friendlies	Balcatta FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Fremantle City FC (W)
20/07/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Balcatta FC (W)	2-3 HT 1-0	Fremantle City FC (W)
25/05/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Balcatta FC (W)
29/03/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Balcatta FC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	20	14	4	2	42	11	46
2	Balcatta FC (W)	19	12	5	2	46	17	41
3	Fremantle City FC (W)	19	12	3	4	42	18	39
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	19	6	6	7	28	26	24
5	Hyundai NTC Women	20	6	6	8	35	37	24
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	19	6	2	11	26	40	20
7	Sorrento (W)	19	2	4	13	17	48	10
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	19	2	4	13	9	48	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Balcatta FC (W)	Fremantle City FC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)	3-2 W	2-0 W
Perth SC (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Perth Redstar FC (W)	5-1 W	2-0 W
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Hyundai NTC Women	4-1 W	2-1 W
Sorrento (W)	1-1 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Balcatta FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Balcatta FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	3-2	12	0	W
01/08	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
25/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	5-1	5	2	W
22/07	Subiaco AFC 2 Women Australia WA State Cup Women	4-0	7-0	5	0	W
19/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
12/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	4-1	5	0	W
05/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	11	1	D
28/06	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
20/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
13/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W

Fremantle City FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
02/08	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
29/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	14	0	L
22/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
19/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
12/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
04/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
28/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	9	2	L
21/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
13/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Balcatta FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Balcatta FC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Balcatta FC (W) 45%, draw 24%, Fremantle City FC (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Balcatta FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Balcatta FC (W) 1.79 · Fremantle City FC (W) 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Balcatta FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.