Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 16/08, 09:45

Prediction: Subiaco AFC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)

Team pages: Subiaco AFC (W) · Perth Redstar FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Subiaco AFC (W)1.32

Perth Redstar FC (W)1.85

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Subiaco AFC (W) Draw Perth Redstar FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Subiaco AFC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Perth Redstar FC (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLLDD

Head-to-head

Subiaco AFC (W) 1–5 Perth Redstar FC (W) (6 last)

Subiaco AFC (W)1-0Perth Redstar FC (W)
Perth Redstar FC (W)1-0Subiaco AFC (W)
Perth Redstar FC (W)4-1Subiaco AFC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)0-4Perth Redstar FC (W)
Perth Redstar FC (W)6-0Subiaco AFC (W)
Perth Redstar FC (W)6-1Subiaco AFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Subiaco AFC (W) 1489 · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1470

	Subiaco AFC (W)	Draw	Perth Redstar FC (W)
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Perth Redstar FC (W): 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Subiaco AFC (W)	Perth Redstar FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.3	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0.1	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:32 +55’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Subiaco AFC (W) 1–0–5 Perth Redstar FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/07/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Perth Redstar FC (W)
17/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth Redstar FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Subiaco AFC (W)
27/07/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth Redstar FC (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Subiaco AFC (W)
01/06/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Perth Redstar FC (W)
06/04/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth Redstar FC (W)	6-0 HT 4-0	Subiaco AFC (W)
21/07/24 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth Redstar FC (W)	6-1 HT 3-1	Subiaco AFC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	20	14	4	2	42	11	46
2	Balcatta FC (W)	19	12	5	2	46	17	41
3	Fremantle City FC (W)	19	12	3	4	42	18	39
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	19	6	6	7	28	26	24
5	Hyundai NTC Women	20	6	6	8	35	37	24
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	19	6	2	11	26	40	20
7	Sorrento (W)	19	2	4	13	17	48	10
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	19	2	4	13	9	48	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Subiaco AFC (W)	Perth Redstar FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)	2-3 L	1-5 L
Hyundai NTC Women	4-2 W	3-1 W
Perth SC (W)	2-4 L	0-1 L
Fremantle City FC (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Sorrento (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Subiaco AFC (W) (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Subiaco AFC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-3	4	0	L
02/08	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	4-2	5	0	W
28/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
26/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-3	2-4	2	0	L
19/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
12/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
28/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
20/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	6-4	10	1	W
31/05	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	3	1	L

Perth Redstar FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
02/08	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	11	0	D
28/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
25/07	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
18/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-1	3-1	1	0	W
12/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
05/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
28/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
21/06	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
31/05	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-4	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Subiaco AFC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth Redstar FC (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Subiaco AFC (W) 27%, draw 24%, Perth Redstar FC (W) 49%.

How many goals are expected in Subiaco AFC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Subiaco AFC (W) 1.32 · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Subiaco AFC (W) vs Perth Redstar FC (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.