Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 23/08, 09:00

Prediction: UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)

Team pages: UWA-Nedlands FC (W) · Subiaco AFC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)1.22

Subiaco AFC (W)1.94

1X2

23% 23% 54%

UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Draw Subiaco AFC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Subiaco AFC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1–1–4 Subiaco AFC (W) (6 last)

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)0-0Subiaco AFC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)3-0UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)5-1UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)2-3UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)9-0UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)2-6Subiaco AFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1430 · Subiaco AFC (W) 1524

	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	Draw	Subiaco AFC (W)
Our model	23%	24%	53%
Market	24%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Subiaco AFC (W) (rating 1430 vs 1524).
H2H favours Subiaco AFC (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	Subiaco AFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.5	1.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	3.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.00

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 05:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
X	3.75 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	1.91 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +1’	3.10	3.75	1.91
16:30 +11’	4.33▲	3.90▲	1.60▼
20:47 +4’	4.50▲	4.00▲	1.55▼
03:04 +7’	4.75▲	3.90▼	1.55
05:50 +7’	3.80▼	4.00▲	1.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1–1–4 Subiaco AFC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Subiaco AFC (W)
03/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
20/07/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	5-1 HT 4-1	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
25/05/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	2-3 HT 0-2	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
18/05/25 Australia WA State Cup Women	Subiaco AFC (W)	9-0 HT 3-0	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
30/03/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	2-6 HT 1-4	Subiaco AFC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	20	14	4	2	42	11	46
2	Balcatta FC (W)	20	12	6	2	47	18	42
3	Fremantle City FC (W)	20	12	4	4	43	19	40
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	20	6	6	8	30	29	24
5	Hyundai NTC Women	20	6	6	8	35	37	24
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	20	7	2	11	29	42	23
7	Sorrento (W)	20	3	4	13	18	48	13
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	20	2	4	14	9	49	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	Subiaco AFC (W)
Sorrento (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Hyundai NTC Women	0-3 L	4-2 W
Perth Redstar FC (W)	1-1 D	3-2 W
Fremantle City FC (W)	1-0 W	0-2 L
Balcatta FC (W)	1-2 L	2-3 L
Perth SC (W)	1-4 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Subiaco AFC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
09/08	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
02/08	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	6	0	D
29/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
19/07	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	1	1	L
11/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-2	1-4	0	3	L
05/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	11	0	D
27/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/06	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	0	L
14/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W

Subiaco AFC (W)

WLDWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	3-2	7	2	W
07/08	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-3	4	0	L
02/08	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	4-2	5	0	W
28/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
26/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-3	2-4	2	0	L
19/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
12/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
28/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
20/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	6-4	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Subiaco AFC (W) win (54%). Probabilities: UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 23%, draw 23%, Subiaco AFC (W) 54%.

How many goals are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.22 · Subiaco AFC (W) 1.94), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Subiaco AFC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.