Prediction: Northern AFC vs Dunedin City Royals FC
Team pages: Northern AFC · Dunedin City Royals FC
- Dunedin City Royals FC1-0Northern AFC
| Northern AFC | Draw | Dunedin City Royals FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 42% | 22% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Northern AFC | Dunedin City Royals FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3 | 0.9 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Northern AFC 0–0–1 Dunedin City Royals FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 New Zealand Southern League | Dunedin City Royals FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Northern AFC |
Standings · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 6 | 40 |
| 2 | Ferrymead Bays | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Coastal Spirit | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 28 |
| 4 | Nomads United | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 27 |
| 5 | Nelson Suburbs | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 28 | 24 |
| 6 | Northern AFC | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 17 |
| 7 | Christchurch United | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 8 | Dunedin City Royals FC | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 16 |
| 9 | Selwyn United | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanaka AFC | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Northern AFC | Dunedin City Royals FC |
|---|---|---|
| Coastal Spirit | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Cashmere Technical | 0-3 L | 0-9 L |
| Nelson Suburbs | 0-11 L | 1-4 L |
| Wanaka AFC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Nomads United | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Selwyn United | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunedin City Royals FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Northern AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-11 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Dunedin City Royals FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Cup |
0-4 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-5 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Northern AFC vs Dunedin City Royals FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Northern AFC win (42%). Probabilities: Northern AFC 42%, draw 23%, Dunedin City Royals FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Northern AFC vs Dunedin City Royals FC?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Northern AFC 1.72 · Dunedin City Royals FC 1.56), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Northern AFC vs Dunedin City Royals FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.