Football · New Zealand Southern League · 01/08, 07:00

Prediction: Christchurch United vs Cashmere Technical

Team pages: Christchurch United · Cashmere Technical

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

Christchurch United0.99

Cashmere Technical2.86

1X2

10% 15% 75%

Christchurch United Draw Cashmere Technical

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Christchurch United 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLWDDW

Cashmere Technical 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Christchurch United 2–2–2 Cashmere Technical (6 last)

Cashmere Technical2-0Christchurch United
Cashmere Technical2-2Christchurch United
Christchurch United3-1Cashmere Technical
Christchurch United2-0Cashmere Technical
Christchurch United1-1Cashmere Technical
Cashmere Technical4-2Christchurch United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Christchurch United 1500 · Cashmere Technical 1632

	Christchurch United	Draw	Cashmere Technical
Our model	10%	15%	75%
Market	10%	14%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cashmere Technical (rating 1500 vs 1632).
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Christchurch United	Cashmere Technical
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	4.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	2.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	3 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

19.00

X6.25

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.85

2 (-2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00
X	8.00 → 6.25▼	Bet365 6.25
2	1.13 → 1.20▲	Bet365 1.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +1’	10.00	8.00	1.13
16:13 +3’	9.00▼	6.25▼	1.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Christchurch United 2–2–2 Cashmere Technical

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 New Zealand Southern League	Cashmere Technical	2-0 HT 1-0	Christchurch United
16/08/25 New Zealand Southern League	Cashmere Technical	2-2 HT 1-0	Christchurch United
13/06/25 New Zealand Cup	Christchurch United	3-1 HT 3-0	Cashmere Technical
16/05/25 New Zealand Southern League	Christchurch United	2-0 HT 1-0	Cashmere Technical
01/09/24 New Zealand Southern League	Christchurch United	1-1 HT 0-1	Cashmere Technical
08/06/24 New Zealand Southern League	Cashmere Technical	4-2 HT 1-1	Christchurch United

Standings · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cashmere Technical	13	12	1	0	61	6	37
2	Ferrymead Bays	14	9	2	3	29	16	29
3	Coastal Spirit	14	8	1	5	29	28	25
4	Nelson Suburbs	14	8	0	6	46	26	24
5	Nomads United	14	7	3	4	24	20	24
6	Northern AFC	14	5	2	7	15	30	17
7	Christchurch United	14	4	4	6	18	16	16
8	Dunedin City Royals FC	14	4	1	9	12	31	13
9	Selwyn United	14	2	1	11	15	43	7
10	Wanaka AFC	13	2	1	10	12	45	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Christchurch United	Cashmere Technical
Ferrymead Bays	0-0 D	4-0 W
Nomads United	0-0 D	2-2 D
Selwyn United	4-1 W	4-1 W
Dunedin City Royals FC	0-2 L	9-0 W
Coastal Spirit	0-2 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cashmere Technical (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Christchurch United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
11/07	Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
27/06	Nomads United New Zealand Southern League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
20/06	Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League	2-1	4-1	4	0	W
06/06	Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League	0-0	0-2	1	0	L
29/05	Nomads United New Zealand Cup	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
23/05	Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
16/05	Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
09/05	Selwyn United New Zealand Cup	2-0	4-0	7	3	W
03/05	Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League	0-1	0-2	5	3	L

Cashmere Technical

WWWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
18/07	Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
04/07	Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Cup	4-0	9-0	–	–	W
27/06	Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League	4-0	4-0	8	0	W
21/06	Nomads United New Zealand Southern League	1-0	2-2	5	1	D
12/06	Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Cup	3-2	4-3	5	3	W
06/06	Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League	3-1	4-1	12	5	W
23/05	Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League	5-0	6-0	–	–	W
17/05	Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League	1-1	5-1	12	1	W
03/05	Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League	1-0	2-0	10	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Christchurch United vs Cashmere Technical?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cashmere Technical win (75%). Probabilities: Christchurch United 10%, draw 15%, Cashmere Technical 75%.

How many goals are expected in Christchurch United vs Cashmere Technical?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Christchurch United 0.99 · Cashmere Technical 2.86), with a 56% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Christchurch United vs Cashmere Technical?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.