Football · Argentina Torneo A · 05/07, 21:00

Prediction: Tucuman Central vs Sol de America de Formosa

Expected goals: 1.85 (Tucuman Central 1.04 · Sol de America de Formosa 0.81). The model gives 40% home, 34% draw, 27% away. Over 1.75 goals (50%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Tucuman Central sits at 3-1-6 (W-D-L), while Sol de America de Formosa arrives on a 5-1-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Tucuman Central won 0 and Sol de America de Formosa 1.

40%1
40% 34% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tucuman Central 1471 · Sol de America de Formosa 1505
Tucuman CentralDrawSol de America de Formosa
Our model39%35%26%
Market40%33%27%
Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.85Tucuman Central 1.04 · Sol de America de Formosa 0.81
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 50%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tucuman CentralSol de America de Formosa
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.31.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.71.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.54.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tucuman Central 001 Sol de America de Formosa

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Sol de America de Formosa3-0
HT 1-0
Tucuman Central

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Martin Formosa 13823 241726
2 CA Bartolome Mitre 14653 12623
3 CA Sarmiento de la Banda 13634 141121
4 Sol de America de Formosa 13625 141020
5 Juventud Antoniana 13535 131018
6 Tucuman Central 13517 121416
7 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 14518 182516
8 Boca Unidos 13436 151915
9 Sarmiento de Resistencia 14266 102012

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTucuman CentralSol de America de Formosa
Sarmiento de Resistencia 0-1 L 3-0 W
Boca Unidos 2-0 W 1-0 W
San Martin Formosa 2-3 L 1-2 L
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 2-0 W 1-2 L
CA Bartolome Mitre 0-1 L 0-0 D
CA Sarmiento de la Banda 0-1 L 0-2 L
Juventud Antoniana 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tucuman Central (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tucuman Central

LDLWLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 34 L
21/06 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 33 W
07/06 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-3 09 L
31/05 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-0 76 W
25/05 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 107 L
17/05 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 25 L
10/05 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 06 W
03/05 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-3 46 L
25/04 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 26 D
19/04 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 1-3 66 L

Sol de America de Formosa

WLWWWWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 56 L
21/06 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-2 51 L
14/06 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 43 D
07/06 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-2 63 L
31/05 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 310 W
17/05 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 46 W
10/05 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 54 W
03/05 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 36 W
26/04 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 43 L
18/04 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-1 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tucuman Central vs Sol de America de Formosa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tucuman Central win (40%). Probabilities: Tucuman Central 40%, draw 34%, Sol de America de Formosa 27%.

How many goals are expected in Tucuman Central vs Sol de America de Formosa?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Tucuman Central 1.04 · Sol de America de Formosa 0.81), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tucuman Central vs Sol de America de Formosa?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.