Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 02/10, 20:45
Prediction: Treaty United FC vs UCD
Team pages: Treaty United FC · UCD
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Treaty United FC1.52
UCD1.47
1X2
Treaty United FC
Draw
UCD
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Treaty United FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
UCD
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treaty United FC
2–1–3
UCD
(6 last)
- UCD1-2Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC1-2UCD
- Treaty United FC0-3UCD
- UCD2-0Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC1-0UCD
- UCD1-1Treaty United FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCD (rating 1458 vs 1505).
- H2H favours UCD: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treaty United FC | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treaty United FC 2–1–3 UCD
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 17/07/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Treaty United FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | UCD |
| 24/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | UCD |
| 27/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 05/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 04/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 69 | 30 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 45 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 57 | 48 | 49 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 42 | 49 | 46 |
| 5 | Kerry FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 39 | 45 |
| 6 | Athlone Town | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 39 | 45 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 44 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | 40 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 48 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 66 | 25 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treaty United FC | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 2-1 W | 5-4 W |
| Bray Wanderers | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Wexford FC | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Kerry FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Cork City | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Athlone Town | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UCD (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
UCD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 5-4 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treaty United FC vs UCD?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Treaty United FC win (38%). Probabilities: Treaty United FC 38%, draw 27%, UCD 36%.
How many goals are expected in Treaty United FC vs UCD?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Treaty United FC 1.52 · UCD 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Treaty United FC vs UCD?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.