Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 09/10, 20:45

Prediction: Athlone Town vs Treaty United FC

Team pages: Athlone Town · Treaty United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Athlone Town1.76

Treaty United FC0.91

1X2

56% 26% 18%

Athlone Town Draw Treaty United FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Athlone Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWWDWD

Treaty United FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Athlone Town 0–2–4 Treaty United FC (6 last)

Treaty United FC2-1Athlone Town
Athlone Town0-0Treaty United FC
Treaty United FC2-0Athlone Town
Treaty United FC3-2Athlone Town
Athlone Town2-2Treaty United FC
Treaty United FC1-0Athlone Town

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (rating 1540 vs 1468).
H2H favours Treaty United FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athlone Town	Treaty United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.84

Under 2.751.94

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.33
2	5.63 → 5.63	Pinn 5.63

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:54 +179’	1.50	4.33	5.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town 0–2–4 Treaty United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Treaty United FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Athlone Town
08/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Treaty United FC
20/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Treaty United FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Athlone Town
19/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Treaty United FC	3-2 HT 1-1	Athlone Town
25/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	2-2 HT 2-0	Treaty United FC
25/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Treaty United FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Athlone Town

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	34	22	5	7	71	34	71
2	Bray Wanderers	34	15	8	11	65	49	53
3	UCD	34	15	7	12	61	48	52
4	Cobh Ramblers	34	14	7	13	46	50	49
5	Longford Town	34	13	9	12	47	45	48
6	Kerry FC	34	13	9	12	42	40	48
7	Athlone Town	34	13	9	12	41	40	48
8	Wexford FC	34	11	8	15	40	51	41
9	Treaty United FC	34	9	9	16	33	52	36
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31	68	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athlone Town	Treaty United FC
Cobh Ramblers	3-3 D	0-2 L
Kerry FC	3-0 W	1-3 L
UCD	2-2 D	0-4 L
Finn Harps	1-0 W	2-1 W
Bray Wanderers	2-1 W	0-2 L
Wexford FC	2-0 W	0-1 L
Longford Town	2-1 W	2-0 W
Cork City	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athlone Town

LDLWWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	3-3	3	5	D
18/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
11/09	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	8	2	D
04/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
28/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
21/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
07/08	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-1	0	7	W
03/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-3	2-3	8	4	L
31/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
24/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	3	0	L

Treaty United FC

LWLDLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
25/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
18/09	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
12/09	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/09	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
28/08	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
21/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
07/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-2	2	6	L
03/08	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
31/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athlone Town vs Treaty United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town win (56%). Probabilities: Athlone Town 56%, draw 26%, Treaty United FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Athlone Town vs Treaty United FC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Athlone Town 1.76 · Treaty United FC 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town vs Treaty United FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.