Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 09/10, 20:45

Prediction: UCD vs Longford Town

Team pages: UCD · Longford Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

UCD1.72

Longford Town1.4

1X2

44% 26% 30%

UCD Draw Longford Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

UCD 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWDDLLW

Longford Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLLWWD

Head-to-head

UCD 3–2–1 Longford Town (6 last)

Longford Town2-1UCD
UCD2-0Longford Town
Longford Town0-0UCD
UCD2-1Longford Town
Longford Town0-2UCD
UCD1-1Longford Town

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UCD: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UCD	Longford Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.5 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.72	Pinn 1.72
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.90
2	4.28 → 4.28	Pinn 4.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:57 +56’	1.72	3.90	4.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UCD 3–2–1 Longford Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	2-1 HT 0-1	UCD
01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	2-0 HT 1-0	Longford Town
07/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	0-0 HT 0-0	UCD
12/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	2-1 HT 1-0	Longford Town
28/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	0-2 HT 0-0	UCD
09/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	1-1 HT 1-1	Longford Town

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	34	22	5	7	71	34	71
2	Bray Wanderers	34	15	8	11	65	49	53
3	UCD	34	15	7	12	61	48	52
4	Cobh Ramblers	34	14	7	13	46	50	49
5	Longford Town	34	13	9	12	47	45	48
6	Kerry FC	34	13	9	12	42	40	48
7	Athlone Town	34	13	9	12	41	40	48
8	Wexford FC	34	11	8	15	40	51	41
9	Treaty United FC	34	9	9	16	33	52	36
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31	68	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UCD	Longford Town
Treaty United FC	4-0 W	0-2 L
Bray Wanderers	1-3 L	4-2 W
Cork City	1-5 L	2-1 W
Athlone Town	2-2 D	1-2 L
Cobh Ramblers	1-1 D	2-2 D
Finn Harps	5-4 W	1-0 W
Kerry FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Wexford FC	4-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UCD (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UCD

DLWDWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	3-0	4-0	2	4	W
25/09	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-3	5	7	L
18/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-4	1-5	5	3	L
11/09	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
04/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
28/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	5-4	8	5	W
21/08	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
07/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	4-1	7	1	W
03/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
31/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Longford Town

WWLWDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	3-3	5	3	D
26/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
18/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
12/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
05/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
28/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
22/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-1	4-2	4	6	W
07/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
03/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-0	5	4	W
31/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UCD vs Longford Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UCD win (44%). Probabilities: UCD 44%, draw 26%, Longford Town 30%.

How many goals are expected in UCD vs Longford Town?

The model expects 3.12 goals (UCD 1.72 · Longford Town 1.4), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UCD vs Longford Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.