Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 09/10, 20:45
Prediction: Cork City vs Finn Harps
Team pages: Cork City · Finn Harps
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Cork City2.62
Finn Harps1.32
1X2
Cork City
Draw
Finn Harps
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Cork City
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Finn Harps
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cork City
4–2–0
Finn Harps
(6 last)
- Finn Harps0-3Cork City
- Cork City4-0Finn Harps
- Finn Harps0-0Cork City
- Finn Harps0-3Cork City
- Cork City2-2Finn Harps
- Cork City1-0Finn Harps
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cork City (rating 1533 vs 1393).
- H2H favours Cork City: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cork City | Finn Harps | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.8 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cork City 4–2–0 Finn Harps
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 29/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
| 03/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 12/09/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Finn Harps | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Cork City |
| 20/09/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Finn Harps |
| 20/07/24 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Cork City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 48 | 52 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 50 | 49 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 45 | 48 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 48 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 51 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 52 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 68 | 25 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cork City | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Longford Town | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| UCD | 5-1 W | 4-5 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Bray Wanderers | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Wexford FC | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Treaty United FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Kerry FC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Cork City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cork City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/09 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
Finn Harps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/09 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cork City vs Finn Harps?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cork City win (65%). Probabilities: Cork City 65%, draw 19%, Finn Harps 17%.
How many goals are expected in Cork City vs Finn Harps?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Cork City 2.62 · Finn Harps 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cork City vs Finn Harps?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.