Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 09/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bray Wanderers vs Wexford FC

Team pages: Bray Wanderers · Wexford FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Bray Wanderers1.99

Wexford FC1.29

1X2

53% 24% 24%

Bray Wanderers Draw Wexford FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bray Wanderers 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Wexford FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers 4–2 Wexford FC (6 last)

Wexford FC2-1Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers4-0Wexford FC
Wexford FC2-1Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers2-1Wexford FC
Wexford FC0-1Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers1-0Wexford FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1502 vs 1453).
H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bray Wanderers	Wexford FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.01

Under 3.251.79

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.55
X	4.31 → 4.31	Pinn 4.31
2	5.08 → 5.08	Pinn 5.08

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +108’	1.55	4.31	5.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bray Wanderers 4–0–2 Wexford FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Bray Wanderers
29/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	4-0 HT 0-0	Wexford FC
03/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Bray Wanderers
20/01/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup	Bray Wanderers	2-1 HT 2-1	Wexford FC
22/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Bray Wanderers
04/07/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	1-0 HT 1-0	Wexford FC

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	34	22	5	7	71	34	71
2	Bray Wanderers	34	15	8	11	65	49	53
3	UCD	34	15	7	12	61	48	52
4	Cobh Ramblers	34	14	7	13	46	50	49
5	Longford Town	34	13	9	12	47	45	48
6	Kerry FC	34	13	9	12	42	40	48
7	Athlone Town	34	13	9	12	41	40	48
8	Wexford FC	34	11	8	15	40	51	41
9	Treaty United FC	34	9	9	16	33	52	36
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31	68	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bray Wanderers	Wexford FC
Cobh Ramblers	1-4 L	3-1 W
UCD	3-1 W	1-4 L
Treaty United FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Kerry FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Cork City	1-1 D	0-2 L
Athlone Town	1-2 L	0-2 L
Longford Town	2-4 L	3-3 D
Finn Harps	5-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Bray Wanderers (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bray Wanderers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-3	1-4	8	6	L
25/09	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-1	1	7	W
18/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
11/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
04/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
28/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
22/08	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-3	2-4	9	6	L
07/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
03/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	1-2	6	8	L
31/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-4	2	6	L

Wexford FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	3-3	8	3	D
25/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
18/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-1	10	3	W
11/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
04/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
21/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
07/08	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-4	4	1	L
03/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
31/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bray Wanderers vs Wexford FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bray Wanderers win (53%). Probabilities: Bray Wanderers 53%, draw 24%, Wexford FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Bray Wanderers vs Wexford FC?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Bray Wanderers 1.99 · Wexford FC 1.29), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bray Wanderers vs Wexford FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.