Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 02/10, 20:45

Prediction: Wexford FC vs Longford Town

Team pages: Wexford FC · Longford Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Wexford FC1.35

Longford Town1.35

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Wexford FC Draw Longford Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wexford FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Longford Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wexford FC 1–1–4 Longford Town (6 last)

Longford Town1-2Wexford FC
Wexford FC1-2Longford Town
Longford Town2-0Wexford FC
Longford Town2-2Wexford FC
Wexford FC0-1Longford Town
Longford Town2-1Wexford FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Longford Town (rating 1455 vs 1510).
H2H favours Longford Town: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wexford FC	Longford Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.86

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.03 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.75
X	3.59 → 3.97▲	Pinn 3.97
2	3.36 → 4.03▲	Pinn 4.03

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:42 +6’	2.03	3.59	3.36
22:54 +35’	1.75▼	3.97▲	4.03▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wexford FC 1–1–4 Longford Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	1-2 HT 0-1	Wexford FC
08/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Longford Town
21/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	2-0 HT 1-0	Wexford FC
30/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	2-2 HT 2-0	Wexford FC
20/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Wexford FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Longford Town
03/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	2-1 HT 0-0	Wexford FC

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	32	22	5	5	69	30	71
2	Bray Wanderers	33	15	8	10	64	45	53
3	UCD	33	14	7	12	57	48	49
4	Cobh Ramblers	33	13	7	13	42	49	46
5	Kerry FC	33	12	9	12	40	39	45
6	Athlone Town	33	12	9	12	39	39	45
7	Longford Town	32	12	8	12	42	41	44
8	Wexford FC	33	11	7	15	37	48	40
9	Treaty United FC	33	9	9	15	33	48	36
10	Finn Harps	33	6	7	20	30	66	25

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wexford FC	Longford Town
Kerry FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Cobh Ramblers	3-1 W	2-2 D
Finn Harps	1-3 L	1-0 W
Treaty United FC	1-0 W	0-2 L
Cork City	0-2 L	2-1 W
Athlone Town	0-2 L	1-2 L
Bray Wanderers	2-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Longford Town (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wexford FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
18/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-1	10	3	W
11/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
04/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
21/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
07/08	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-4	4	1	L
03/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
31/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	0	5	L
25/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W

Longford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
18/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
12/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
05/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
28/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
22/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-1	4-2	4	6	W
07/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
03/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-0	5	4	W
31/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
25/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wexford FC vs Longford Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wexford FC win (36%). Probabilities: Wexford FC 36%, draw 28%, Longford Town 36%.

How many goals are expected in Wexford FC vs Longford Town?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Wexford FC 1.35 · Longford Town 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wexford FC vs Longford Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.