Football · Argentina Torneo A · 05/07, 21:00

Prediction: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Club Atlético El Linqueño

Expected goals: 1.99 (Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1.48 · Club Atlético El Linqueño 0.51). The model gives 61% home, 27% draw, 12% away. Under 2 goals (52%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Recent form leaves Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Club Atlético El Linqueño has piled up 1-4-5 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy and 0 for Club Atlético El Linqueño, with 4 draws.

61%1
61% 27% 12%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1523 · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1445
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De ChivilcoyDrawClub Atlético El Linqueño
Our model60%28%12%
Market61%26%13%
Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.99Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1.48 · Club Atlético El Linqueño 0.51
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 52%
BTTSNo · 55%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (rating 1523 vs 1445).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De ChivilcoyClub Atlético El Linqueño
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.50.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.62 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.53.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 140 Club Atlético El Linqueño

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Club Atlético El Linqueño1-1
HT 1-0
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
12/10/25
Argentina Torneo A
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy2-1
HT 1-0
Club Atlético El Linqueño
05/10/25
Argentina Torneo A
Club Atlético El Linqueño1-1
HT 1-0
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
28/06/25
Argentina Torneo A
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1-1
HT 1-0
Club Atlético El Linqueño
29/04/25
Argentina Torneo A
Club Atlético El Linqueño0-0
HT 0-0
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sportivo Belgrano 15762 18627
2 CA Douglas Haig 15834 191227
3 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 15744 262025
4 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 15645 141022
5 Defensores de Belgrano VR 15645 191622
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 15564 111221
7 Independiente Chivilcoy 15456 121817
8 Escobar FC 15528 162517
9 Club Atlético El Linqueño 15348 111913
10 Gimnasia y Esgrima 15348 91713

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGimnasia Y Esgrima De ChivilcoyClub Atlético El Linqueño
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1-2 L 2-3 L
Escobar FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Sportivo Las Parejas 0-0 D 0-1 L
Independiente Chivilcoy 0-0 D 0-1 L
Sportivo Belgrano 0-1 L 1-1 D
CA Douglas Haig 2-0 W 2-0 W
Defensores de Belgrano VR 3-0 W 0-2 L
Gimnasia y Esgrima 0-1 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

WDLWWLDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 16 L
20/06 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 26 W
13/06 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 65 D
07/06 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 76 D
31/05 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 48 L
23/05 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 55 W
16/05 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 3-0 56 W
10/05 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 28 L
03/05 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 21 D
26/04 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 24 W

Club Atlético El Linqueño

DDLDLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 95 D
23/06 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 2-3 71 L
14/06 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 73 W
07/06 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 25 L
31/05 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-2 88 L
24/05 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 53 L
17/05 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 13 D
09/05 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 37 L
03/05 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 21 D
26/04 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Club Atlético El Linqueño?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy win (61%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 61%, draw 27%, Club Atlético El Linqueño 12%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Club Atlético El Linqueño?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1.48 · Club Atlético El Linqueño 0.51), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy vs Club Atlético El Linqueño?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.