Prediction: Gimnasia y Esgrima vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Expected goals: 2.15 (Gimnasia y Esgrima 1.03 · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.12). The model gives 32% home, 32% draw, 36% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while CA 9 de Julio Rafaela arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1 and CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 4.
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | Draw | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | 32% | 31% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia y Esgrima 1–0–4 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
| 01/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
| 07/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
| 12/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | CA Douglas Haig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 25 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 22 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 17 |
| 8 | Escobar FC | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 17 |
| 9 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 10 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia y Esgrima | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Escobar FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia y Esgrima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (36%). Probabilities: Gimnasia y Esgrima 32%, draw 32%, CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 36%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Gimnasia y Esgrima 1.03 · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.