Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Club Atlético El Linqueño1.19
Independiente Chivilcoy0.63
1X2
Club Atlético El Linqueño
Draw
Independiente Chivilcoy
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club Atlético El Linqueño
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Independiente Chivilcoy
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Atlético El Linqueño
2–3–1
Independiente Chivilcoy
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1443 · Independiente Chivilcoy 1453
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | Draw | Independiente Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 33% | 18% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Club Atlético El Linqueño: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | Independiente Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético El Linqueño 2–3–1 Independiente Chivilcoy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Independiente Chivilcoy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Club Atlético El Linqueño |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Chivilcoy |
| 23/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | Independiente Chivilcoy | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Club Atlético El Linqueño |
| 18/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Chivilcoy |
| 25/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Independiente Chivilcoy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club Atlético El Linqueño |
| 31/03/24 Argentina Torneo A | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Chivilcoy |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | CA Douglas Haig | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Escobar FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Atlético El Linqueño | Independiente Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| CA Douglas Haig | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Escobar FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 0 W 5 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Chivilcoy (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Atlético El Linqueño
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Independiente Chivilcoy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético El Linqueño win (49%). Probabilities: Club Atlético El Linqueño 49%, draw 31%, Independiente Chivilcoy 19%.
How many goals are expected in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Club Atlético El Linqueño 1.19 · Independiente Chivilcoy 0.63), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.