Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 18:00
Prediction: Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.57Total
Sportivo Las Parejas1.12
Sportivo Belgrano0.45
1X2
Sportivo Las Parejas
Draw
Sportivo Belgrano
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Las Parejas
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Belgrano
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Las Parejas
1–1–4
Sportivo Belgrano
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Las Parejas 1531 · Sportivo Belgrano 1562
| Sportivo Las Parejas | Draw | Sportivo Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| Market | 54% | 30% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.57 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sportivo Belgrano: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Las Parejas | Sportivo Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Las Parejas 1–1–4 Sportivo Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
| 01/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
| 04/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 19/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 26/03/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | CA Douglas Haig | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Escobar FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Las Parejas | Sportivo Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Escobar FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 4 D 0 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Belgrano (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Las Parejas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Sportivo Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Las Parejas win (53%). Probabilities: Sportivo Las Parejas 53%, draw 32%, Sportivo Belgrano 15%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
The model expects 1.57 goals (Sportivo Las Parejas 1.12 · Sportivo Belgrano 0.45), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.