Prediction: San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana
Expected goals: 2.47 (San Martin Formosa 1.64 · Juventud Antoniana 0.83). The model gives 55% home, 27% draw, 17% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves San Martin Formosa with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Juventud Antoniana has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for San Martin Formosa and 1 for Juventud Antoniana, with 3 draws.
| San Martin Formosa | Draw | Juventud Antoniana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 55% | 28% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin Formosa (rating 1560 vs 1478).
- H2H favours San Martin Formosa: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin Formosa | Juventud Antoniana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 3.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin Formosa 2–3–1 Juventud Antoniana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Juventud Antoniana | 0-3 HT 0-1 | San Martin Formosa |
| 17/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Juventud Antoniana | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 28/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Juventud Antoniana | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Martin Formosa |
| 26/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Juventud Antoniana |
| 09/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Juventud Antoniana |
| 15/04/24 Argentina Torneo A | Juventud Antoniana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin Formosa |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Sol de America de Formosa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Tucuman Central | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 16 |
| 8 | Boca Unidos | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin Formosa | Juventud Antoniana |
|---|---|---|
| Sol de America de Formosa | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Sarmiento de Resistencia | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Boca Unidos | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Tucuman Central | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin Formosa (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
Juventud Antoniana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 23/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin Formosa win (55%). Probabilities: San Martin Formosa 55%, draw 27%, Juventud Antoniana 17%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
The model expects 2.47 goals (San Martin Formosa 1.64 · Juventud Antoniana 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.