Prediction: Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento de Resistencia
Expected goals: 2.08 (Boca Unidos 1.35 · Sarmiento de Resistencia 0.73). The model gives 51% home, 29% draw, 20% away. Under 2.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Boca Unidos sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while Sarmiento de Resistencia arrives on a 2-3-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Boca Unidos won 1 and Sarmiento de Resistencia 1, with 4 draws.
| Boca Unidos | Draw | Sarmiento de Resistencia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Unidos | Sarmiento de Resistencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 2.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Unidos 1–4–1 Sarmiento de Resistencia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Boca Unidos |
| 16/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Boca Unidos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
| 18/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Boca Unidos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Boca Unidos |
| 28/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Unidos |
| 07/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Boca Unidos | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Sol de America de Formosa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Tucuman Central | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 16 |
| 8 | Boca Unidos | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Unidos | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
|---|---|---|
| Tucuman Central | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| San Martin Formosa | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Juventud Antoniana | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Boca Unidos (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Sarmiento de Resistencia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento de Resistencia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Unidos win (51%). Probabilities: Boca Unidos 51%, draw 29%, Sarmiento de Resistencia 20%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento de Resistencia?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Boca Unidos 1.35 · Sarmiento de Resistencia 0.73), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento de Resistencia?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.