Football · Argentina Torneo A · 05/07, 20:00

Prediction: Guillermo Brown vs Club Circulo Deportivo

Expected goals: 1.62 (Guillermo Brown 0.99 · Club Circulo Deportivo 0.63). The model gives 43% home, 34% draw, 23% away. Under 2 goals (60%) and not both to score (56%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Guillermo Brown sits at 2-4-4 (W-D-L), while Club Circulo Deportivo arrives on a 0-6-4 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Guillermo Brown won 0 and Club Circulo Deportivo 1, with 3 draws.

43%1
43% 34% 23%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guillermo Brown 1479 · Club Circulo Deportivo 1453
Guillermo BrownDrawClub Circulo Deportivo
Our model42%37%21%
Market45%31%24%
Estimated total (ours) 1.62 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.62Guillermo Brown 0.99 · Club Circulo Deportivo 0.63
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 60%
BTTSNo · 56%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guillermo BrownClub Circulo Deportivo
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.10.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/56/22%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 2.61 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.15.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guillermo Brown 031 Club Circulo Deportivo

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Club Circulo Deportivo1-1
HT 0-1
Guillermo Brown
10/08/25
Argentina Torneo A
Club Circulo Deportivo0-0
HT 0-0
Guillermo Brown
29/06/25
Argentina Torneo A
Club Circulo Deportivo0-0
HT 0-0
Guillermo Brown
27/04/25
Argentina Torneo A
Guillermo Brown0-1
HT 0-0
Club Circulo Deportivo

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 4

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Olimpo B Blanca 13661 10424
2 CA Alvarado 14653 14723
3 Kimberley Mar del Plata 14572 12722
4 Club Villa Mitre 13463 8518
5 Germinal de Rawson 13463 7618
6 Sol de Mayo 13454 101017
7 Santamarina Tandil 14266 91512
8 Guillermo Brown 13256 101711
9 Club Circulo Deportivo 13166 4139

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuillermo BrownClub Circulo Deportivo
Kimberley Mar del Plata 0-3 L 0-1 L
Sol de Mayo 0-1 L 0-0 D
Olimpo B Blanca 0-0 D 1-1 D
CA Alvarado 0-0 D 0-1 L
Santamarina Tandil 2-0 W 0-0 D
Germinal de Rawson 1-1 D 0-0 D
Club Villa Mitre 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 0 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Guillermo Brown (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guillermo Brown

LLDWDWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Kimberley Mar del Plata
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-3 62 L
21/06 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 L
07/06 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 24 D
31/05 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 13 D
24/05 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-0 23 W
17/05 Germinal de Rawson
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 D
10/05 Club Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 33 W
02/05 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 12 D
26/04 Kimberley Mar del Plata
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 3-4 23 L
19/04 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 45 L

Club Circulo Deportivo

LLDDLDDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 37 D
20/06 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 68 L
14/06 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 25 D
07/06 Germinal de Rawson
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 26 D
31/05 Club Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 37 D
17/05 Kimberley Mar del Plata
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 19 L
10/05 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 27 D
02/05 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 52 D
27/04 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 54 L
18/04 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guillermo Brown vs Club Circulo Deportivo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guillermo Brown win (43%). Probabilities: Guillermo Brown 43%, draw 34%, Club Circulo Deportivo 23%.

How many goals are expected in Guillermo Brown vs Club Circulo Deportivo?

The model expects 1.62 goals (Guillermo Brown 0.99 · Club Circulo Deportivo 0.63), with a 60% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guillermo Brown vs Club Circulo Deportivo?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.