Football · Argentina Torneo A · 05/07, 20:00

Prediction: Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata

Expected goals: 1.89 (Sol de Mayo 0.95 · Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.94). The model gives 34% home, 34% draw, 33% away. Over 1.75 goals (50%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.

On recent form, Sol de Mayo is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Kimberley Mar del Plata 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Sol de Mayo and 2 for Kimberley Mar del Plata, with 2 draws.

34%1
34% 34% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sol de Mayo 1495 · Kimberley Mar del Plata 1526
Sol de MayoDrawKimberley Mar del Plata
Our model33%35%32%
Market34%33%33%
Estimated total (ours) 1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.89Sol de Mayo 0.95 · Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.94
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 50%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Kimberley Mar del Plata: 2-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sol de MayoKimberley Mar del Plata
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.91.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.52.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.44.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de Mayo 122 Kimberley Mar del Plata

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Kimberley Mar del Plata0-0
HT 0-0
Sol de Mayo
28/06/25
Argentina Torneo A
Kimberley Mar del Plata3-0
HT 3-0
Sol de Mayo
27/04/25
Argentina Torneo A
Sol de Mayo1-2
HT 1-1
Kimberley Mar del Plata
30/06/24
Argentina Torneo A
Sol de Mayo3-2
HT 2-1
Kimberley Mar del Plata
05/05/24
Argentina Torneo A
Kimberley Mar del Plata1-1
HT 0-0
Sol de Mayo

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 4

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Olimpo B Blanca 13661 10424
2 CA Alvarado 14653 14723
3 Kimberley Mar del Plata 14572 12722
4 Club Villa Mitre 13463 8518
5 Germinal de Rawson 13463 7618
6 Sol de Mayo 13454 101017
7 Santamarina Tandil 14266 91512
8 Guillermo Brown 13256 101711
9 Club Circulo Deportivo 13166 4139

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSol de MayoKimberley Mar del Plata
Guillermo Brown 1-0 W 3-0 W
Olimpo B Blanca 1-1 D 0-0 D
CA Alvarado 0-2 L 2-2 D
Santamarina Tandil 3-2 W 0-1 L
Germinal de Rawson 0-1 L 1-0 W
Club Villa Mitre 1-2 L 0-0 D
Club Circulo Deportivo 0-0 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kimberley Mar del Plata (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sol de Mayo

LWDDLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 W
14/06 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 25 D
07/06 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 28 L
31/05 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 3-2 25 W
24/05 Germinal de Rawson
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 L
17/05 Club Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 56 L
10/05 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 97 D
02/05 Kimberley Mar del Plata
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 23 D
19/04 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 35 W
12/04 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 35 L

Kimberley Mar del Plata

LWDWDWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 42 W
20/06 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 44 D
14/06 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 2-2 41 D
07/06 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 75 L
30/05 Germinal de Rawson
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 96 W
25/05 Club Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 39 D
17/05 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 69 W
02/05 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 63 D
26/04 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 4-3 73 W
18/04 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de Mayo win (34%). Probabilities: Sol de Mayo 34%, draw 34%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

The model expects 1.89 goals (Sol de Mayo 0.95 · Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.