Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Club Circulo Deportivo1.2
Sol de Mayo0.57
1X2
Club Circulo Deportivo
Draw
Sol de Mayo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club Circulo Deportivo
0-6-4 (W-D-L)
Sol de Mayo
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Circulo Deportivo
2–1–3
Sol de Mayo
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Circulo Deportivo 1465 · Sol de Mayo 1478
| Club Circulo Deportivo | Draw | Sol de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 33% | 16% |
| Market | 52% | 30% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sol de Mayo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Circulo Deportivo | Sol de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.1 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Circulo Deportivo 2–1–3 Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Circulo Deportivo |
| 05/09/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Circulo Deportivo | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 21/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Club Circulo Deportivo |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Circulo Deportivo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 21/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Club Circulo Deportivo |
| 26/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Club Circulo Deportivo |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 25 |
| 4 | Club Villa Mitre | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Germinal de Rawson | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Circulo Deportivo | Sol de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Guillermo Brown | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Olimpo B Blanca | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Alvarado | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Santamarina Tandil | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Germinal de Rawson | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Club Villa Mitre | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Circulo Deportivo (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Circulo Deportivo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Circulo Deportivo win (51%). Probabilities: Club Circulo Deportivo 51%, draw 31%, Sol de Mayo 17%.
How many goals are expected in Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Club Circulo Deportivo 1.2 · Sol de Mayo 0.57), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.