Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Club Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.77Total
Club Villa Mitre1.32
Guillermo Brown0.45
1X2
Club Villa Mitre
Draw
Guillermo Brown
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club Villa Mitre
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Guillermo Brown
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Villa Mitre
2–3
Guillermo Brown
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Villa Mitre 1526 · Guillermo Brown 1490
| Club Villa Mitre | Draw | Guillermo Brown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 31% | 12% |
| Market | 59% | 28% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.77 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Guillermo Brown: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Villa Mitre | Guillermo Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Villa Mitre 2–0–3 Guillermo Brown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 13/10/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Villa Mitre | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Guillermo Brown |
| 05/10/25 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 21/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Villa Mitre | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Guillermo Brown |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 25 |
| 4 | Club Villa Mitre | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Germinal de Rawson | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Villa Mitre | Guillermo Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpo B Blanca | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Alvarado | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Santamarina Tandil | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Germinal de Rawson | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Sol de Mayo | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Villa Mitre (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Villa Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Guillermo Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Villa Mitre win (58%). Probabilities: Club Villa Mitre 58%, draw 29%, Guillermo Brown 12%.
How many goals are expected in Club Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Club Villa Mitre 1.32 · Guillermo Brown 0.45), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.