Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/07, 16:30
Prediction: FADEP Mendoza vs San Martin de Mendoza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
FADEP Mendoza1.49
San Martin de Mendoza0.67
1X2
FADEP Mendoza
Draw
San Martin de Mendoza
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FADEP Mendoza
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
San Martin de Mendoza
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FADEP Mendoza
2–2–2
San Martin de Mendoza
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FADEP Mendoza 1530 · San Martin de Mendoza 1503
| FADEP Mendoza | Draw | San Martin de Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 29% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FADEP Mendoza | San Martin de Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FADEP Mendoza 2–2–2 San Martin de Mendoza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin de Mendoza | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FADEP Mendoza |
| 21/11/21 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | San Martin de Mendoza | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FADEP Mendoza |
| 21/02/21 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | San Martin de Mendoza | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FADEP Mendoza |
| 24/01/21 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | FADEP Mendoza | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Martin de Mendoza |
| 14/03/20 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | FADEP Mendoza | 2-1 HT 1-0 | San Martin de Mendoza |
| 01/03/20 Argentina Torneo Regional Amateur | San Martin de Mendoza | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FADEP Mendoza |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | CDA Monte Maiz | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | FADEP Mendoza | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan Las Heras | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | CA Costa Brava | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | San Martin de Mendoza | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Deportivo Rincon | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 16 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FADEP Mendoza | San Martin de Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Cipolletti | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Juventud Unida Universitario | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CDA Monte Maiz | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Deportivo Rincon | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CA Costa Brava | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Huracan Las Heras | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FADEP Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
San Martin de Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FADEP Mendoza vs San Martin de Mendoza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FADEP Mendoza win (56%). Probabilities: FADEP Mendoza 56%, draw 29%, San Martin de Mendoza 16%.
How many goals are expected in FADEP Mendoza vs San Martin de Mendoza?
The model expects 2.16 goals (FADEP Mendoza 1.49 · San Martin de Mendoza 0.67), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FADEP Mendoza vs San Martin de Mendoza?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.