Football · Argentina Torneo A · 05/07, 21:00

Prediction: San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon

Expected goals: 2.08 (San Martin de Mendoza 1.23 · Deportivo Rincon 0.85). The model gives 44% home, 32% draw, 24% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, San Martin de Mendoza is 2-4-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Deportivo Rincon 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for San Martin de Mendoza and 2 for Deportivo Rincon.

44%1
44% 32% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin de Mendoza 1483 · Deportivo Rincon 1471
San Martin de MendozaDrawDeportivo Rincon
Our model44%32%24%
Market44%31%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.08San Martin de Mendoza 1.23 · Deportivo Rincon 0.85
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Deportivo Rincon: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Martin de MendozaDeportivo Rincon
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.10.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.60.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.52.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin de Mendoza 002 Deportivo Rincon

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Deportivo Rincon1-0
HT 0-0
San Martin de Mendoza
15/09/24
Argentina Torneo A
Deportivo Rincon2-0
HT 0-0
San Martin de Mendoza

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cipolletti 14635 161321
2 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 13634 111021
3 CDA Monte Maiz 13553 13920
4 CA Costa Brava 14464 121018
5 FADEP Mendoza 13373 141316
6 Juventud Unida Universitario 14374 10916
7 Deportivo Rincon 13445 121416
8 Huracan Las Heras 13445 81316
9 San Martin de Mendoza 13355 91414

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Martin de MendozaDeportivo Rincon
CA Costa Brava 1-2 L 1-0 W
Huracan Las Heras 3-1 W 1-1 D
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 0-0 D 0-1 L
Cipolletti 1-0 W 1-2 L
Juventud Unida Universitario 1-1 D 2-1 W
CDA Monte Maiz 1-4 L 0-2 L
FADEP Mendoza 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin de Mendoza

LDLDLDWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 43 L
21/06 Huracan Las Heras
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-1 56 W
07/06 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 114 D
31/05 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 56 W
23/05 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 34 D
17/05 CDA Monte Maiz
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 1-4 73 L
10/05 FADEP Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 41 D
03/05 Deportivo Rincon
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 14 L
26/04 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 26 D
19/04 Huracan Las Heras
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 37 L

Deportivo Rincon

LLWDWDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 87 L
21/06 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-2 31 L
14/06 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-1 53 W
07/06 CDA Monte Maiz
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-2 18 L
31/05 FADEP Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 41 D
17/05 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 63 W
10/05 Huracan Las Heras
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 07 D
03/05 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 64 W
27/04 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-3 35 L
18/04 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin de Mendoza win (44%). Probabilities: San Martin de Mendoza 44%, draw 32%, Deportivo Rincon 24%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

The model expects 2.08 goals (San Martin de Mendoza 1.23 · Deportivo Rincon 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.