Prediction: Dunedin City Royals FC vs Wanaka AFC
Team pages: Dunedin City Royals FC · Wanaka AFC
- Wanaka AFC2-1Dunedin City Royals FC
- Wanaka AFC0-6Dunedin City Royals FC
- Dunedin City Royals FC1-0Wanaka AFC
| Dunedin City Royals FC | Draw | Wanaka AFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 57% | 18% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunedin City Royals FC (rating 1447 vs 1394).
- H2H favours Dunedin City Royals FC: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunedin City Royals FC | Wanaka AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.9 | 0.8 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.8 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 0.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunedin City Royals FC 2–0–1 Wanaka AFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 New Zealand Southern League | Wanaka AFC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Dunedin City Royals FC |
| 06/09/25 New Zealand Southern League | Wanaka AFC | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Dunedin City Royals FC |
| 05/04/25 New Zealand Southern League | Dunedin City Royals FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wanaka AFC |
Standings · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 6 | 37 |
| 2 | Ferrymead Bays | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Coastal Spirit | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 28 | 25 |
| 4 | Nelson Suburbs | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 46 | 26 | 24 |
| 5 | Nomads United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
| 6 | Northern AFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 17 |
| 7 | Christchurch United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Dunedin City Royals FC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 13 |
| 9 | Selwyn United | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanaka AFC | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunedin City Royals FC | Wanaka AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Nomads United | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Selwyn United | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Nelson Suburbs | 1-4 L | 0-6 L |
| Coastal Spirit | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Christchurch United | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Northern AFC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ferrymead Bays | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunedin City Royals FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunedin City Royals FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Cup |
0-4 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-5 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Wanaka AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Northern AFC New Zealand Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunedin City Royals FC vs Wanaka AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunedin City Royals FC win (56%). Probabilities: Dunedin City Royals FC 56%, draw 19%, Wanaka AFC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Dunedin City Royals FC vs Wanaka AFC?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Dunedin City Royals FC 2.34 · Wanaka AFC 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunedin City Royals FC vs Wanaka AFC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.