Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 22/08, 19:00

Prediction: RFS II vs JDFS Alberts

Team pages: RFS II · JDFS Alberts

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

RFS II1.27

JDFS Alberts2.44

1X2

18% 20% 62%

RFS II Draw JDFS Alberts

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

RFS II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLWLL

JDFS Alberts 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLWDDW

Head-to-head

RFS II 1–1–4 JDFS Alberts (6 last)

JDFS Alberts2-0RFS II
JDFS Alberts2-1RFS II
RFS II0-2JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts3-0RFS II
RFS II4-0JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts2-2RFS II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RFS II 1461 · JDFS Alberts 1552

	RFS II	Draw	JDFS Alberts
Our model	18%	20%	62%
Market	18%	20%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JDFS Alberts (rating 1461 vs 1552).
H2H favours JDFS Alberts: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RFS II	JDFS Alberts
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 3	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.2	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:35 +4’	5.00	4.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RFS II 1–1–4 JDFS Alberts

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	2-0 HT 0-0	RFS II
02/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	2-1 HT 0-1	RFS II
05/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga	RFS II	0-2 HT 0-1	JDFS Alberts
06/10/24 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	3-0 HT 2-0	RFS II
14/06/24 Latvia 1. Liga	RFS II	4-0 HT 2-0	JDFS Alberts
22/10/23 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	2-2 HT 0-1	RFS II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valmiera FC	16	13	2	1	44	14	41
2	Metta/LU	16	13	2	1	69	14	41
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	16	11	3	2	27	18	36
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	16	10	5	1	34	15	35
5	JDFS Alberts	16	8	4	4	32	23	28
6	Marupes SC	17	8	1	8	28	26	25
7	SK Super Nova II	17	6	5	6	24	25	23
8	Riga FC II	16	6	2	8	23	30	20
9	Skanstes SK	16	6	1	9	30	32	19
10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	16	3	3	10	21	45	12
11	RFS II	16	3	3	10	22	45	12
12	JFK Ventspils	16	2	5	9	18	28	11
13	FK Smiltene/BJSS	16	2	4	10	19	43	10
14	Rezeknes FA	16	1	2	13	13	46	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RFS II	JDFS Alberts
Metta/LU	1-12 L	1-4 L
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	0-2 L	1-1 D
SK Super Nova II	1-1 D	1-1 D
Riga FC II	1-3 L	2-0 W
Rezeknes FA	3-0 W	4-2 W
Skanstes SK	0-4 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: JDFS Alberts (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RFS II

LLWWLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-9	1-12	0	8	L
01/08	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-2	13	7	L
25/07	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	5-3	5	7	W
20/07	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
27/06	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
14/06	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	3-0	8	5	W
23/05	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	4-1	3	4	W
16/05	Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-2	5	7	L
10/05	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-4	7	3	L

JDFS Alberts

LWWDWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
03/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/07	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
18/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	3-1	12	2	W
04/07	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
27/06	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-2	7	4	W
13/06	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
31/05	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	6-1	–	–	W
24/05	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	4-1	3	2	W
16/05	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	1-4	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RFS II vs JDFS Alberts?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JDFS Alberts win (62%). Probabilities: RFS II 18%, draw 20%, JDFS Alberts 62%.

How many goals are expected in RFS II vs JDFS Alberts?

The model expects 3.71 goals (RFS II 1.27 · JDFS Alberts 2.44), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RFS II vs JDFS Alberts?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.