Prediction: FK Aktobe vs Zhetysu
Expected goals: 2.66 (FK Aktobe 1.76 · Zhetysu 0.89). The model gives 57% home, 25% draw, 18% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FK Aktobe sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Zhetysu arrives on a 2-4-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FK Aktobe won 3 and Zhetysu 3.
| FK Aktobe | Draw | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Aktobe (rating 1532 vs 1487).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Aktobe | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Aktobe 3–0–3 Zhetysu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Aktobe |
| 24/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Aktobe | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| 25/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Aktobe |
| 15/09/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Aktobe | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Zhetysu |
| 28/04/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FK Aktobe |
| 14/04/24 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Aktobe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zhetysu |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Elimai Semey | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Atyrau | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol Kostanay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Aktobe | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|
| FC Altai Semey | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| FK Kyzylzhar | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| FK Atyrau | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ordabasy | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Aktobe (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Aktobe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 13/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Aktobe vs Zhetysu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Aktobe win (57%). Probabilities: FK Aktobe 57%, draw 25%, Zhetysu 18%.
How many goals are expected in FK Aktobe vs Zhetysu?
The model expects 2.66 goals (FK Aktobe 1.76 · Zhetysu 0.89), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Aktobe vs Zhetysu?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.