Prediction: FC Astana vs FK Zhenys
Expected goals: 2.69 (FC Astana 1.8 · FK Zhenys 0.89). The model gives 58% home, 24% draw, 18% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves FC Astana with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; FK Zhenys has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Astana won 1 and FK Zhenys 1, with 4 draws.
| FC Astana | Draw | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Astana | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Astana 1–4–1 FK Zhenys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Astana |
| 23/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 3-2 HT 0-1 | FC Astana |
| 24/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Astana | 4-2 HT 1-2 | FK Zhenys |
| 14/05/25 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Zhenys | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
| 23/11/24 Kazakhstan League Cup | FK Zhenys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
| 29/09/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Elimai Semey | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Atyrau | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol Kostanay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Astana | FK Zhenys |
|---|---|---|
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Ulytau | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| FK Kyzylzhar | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Tobol Kostanay | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zhenys (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Astana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 20/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Astana vs FK Zhenys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Astana win (58%). Probabilities: FC Astana 58%, draw 24%, FK Zhenys 18%.
How many goals are expected in FC Astana vs FK Zhenys?
The model expects 2.69 goals (FC Astana 1.8 · FK Zhenys 0.89), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Astana vs FK Zhenys?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.