Prediction: FK Atyrau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau
Expected goals: 1.95 (FK Atyrau 1.2 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 0.76). The model gives 46% home, 31% draw, 23% away. Under 2 goals (52%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, FK Atyrau sits at 2-5-3 (W-D-L), while FK Kaspyi Aktau arrives on a 3-1-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FK Atyrau won 2 and FK Kaspyi Aktau 3, with 1 draw.
| FK Atyrau | Draw | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Kaspyi Aktau: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Atyrau | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Atyrau 2–1–3 FK Kaspyi Aktau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 12/08/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 07/05/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 04/09/22 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 3-2 HT 0-1 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 16/04/22 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 18/09/21 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Elimai Semey | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Atyrau | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol Kostanay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Atyrau | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
|---|---|---|
| FC Elimai Semey | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Tobol Kostanay | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Astana | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Atyrau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
FK Kaspyi Aktau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Atyrau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Atyrau win (46%). Probabilities: FK Atyrau 46%, draw 31%, FK Kaspyi Aktau 23%.
How many goals are expected in FK Atyrau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model expects 1.95 goals (FK Atyrau 1.2 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 0.76), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Atyrau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.