Prediction: Ordabasy vs FK Ulytau
Expected goals: 2.45 (Ordabasy 1.83 · FK Ulytau 0.62). The model gives 66% home, 22% draw, 12% away. Under 2.75 goals (57%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Ordabasy with 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; FK Ulytau has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ordabasy won 1 and FK Ulytau 2.
| Ordabasy | Draw | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 24% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ordabasy (rating 1602 vs 1505).
- H2H favours FK Ulytau: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ordabasy | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ordabasy 1–0–2 FK Ulytau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ordabasy |
| 24/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ordabasy |
| 24/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Ulytau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Elimai Semey | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Atyrau | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol Kostanay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ordabasy | FK Ulytau |
|---|---|---|
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Elimai Semey | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Kairat Almaty | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Zhetysu | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Altai Semey | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ordabasy (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ordabasy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
FK Ulytau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 30/04 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ordabasy vs FK Ulytau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ordabasy win (66%). Probabilities: Ordabasy 66%, draw 22%, FK Ulytau 12%.
How many goals are expected in Ordabasy vs FK Ulytau?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Ordabasy 1.83 · FK Ulytau 0.62), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ordabasy vs FK Ulytau?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.