Prediction: FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Elimai Semey
Expected goals: 2.51 (FK Kyzylzhar 1.11 · FC Elimai Semey 1.4). The model gives 29% home, 29% draw, 43% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FK Kyzylzhar sits at 1-1-8 (W-D-L), while FC Elimai Semey arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for FK Kyzylzhar and 3 for FC Elimai Semey, with 3 draws.
| FK Kyzylzhar | Draw | FC Elimai Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Elimai Semey (rating 1409 vs 1486).
- H2H favours FC Elimai Semey: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Kyzylzhar | FC Elimai Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 3.4 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kyzylzhar 0–3–3 FC Elimai Semey
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 23/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 25/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 14/05/25 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Kyzylzhar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 24/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 02/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Elimai Semey | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Atyrau | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol Kostanay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Kyzylzhar | FC Elimai Semey |
|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Aktobe | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FK Zhenys | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Elimai Semey (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Kyzylzhar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 17/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
FC Elimai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/04 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Elimai Semey?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Elimai Semey win (43%). Probabilities: FK Kyzylzhar 29%, draw 29%, FC Elimai Semey 43%.
How many goals are expected in FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Elimai Semey?
The model expects 2.51 goals (FK Kyzylzhar 1.11 · FC Elimai Semey 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Elimai Semey?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.