Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 23/10, 20:45
Prediction: Galway United vs St Patricks
Team pages: Galway United · St Patricks
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Galway United1.19
St Patricks1.19
1X2
Galway United
Draw
St Patricks
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Galway United
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
St Patricks
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Galway United
1–3–2
St Patricks
(6 last)
- St Patricks3-0Galway United
- Galway United2-2St Patricks
- St Patricks1-0Galway United
- St Patricks1-1Galway United
- St Patricks1-1Galway United
- Galway United3-1St Patricks
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Patricks (rating 1495 vs 1551).
- H2H favours St Patricks: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Galway United | St Patricks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway United 1–3–2 St Patricks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Galway United |
| 01/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 2-2 HT 0-1 | St Patricks |
| 02/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 19/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 14/09/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | St Patricks | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 20/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 3-1 HT 3-1 | St Patricks |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 65 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 62 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 27 | 59 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 46 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 51 | 56 | 42 |
| 6 | Derry City | 33 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 45 | 44 | 41 |
| 7 | Galway United | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | 41 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 54 | 37 |
| 9 | Waterford FC | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 56 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 60 | 24 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Galway United | St Patricks |
|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shelbourne | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Derry City | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sligo Rovers | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Dundalk | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Drogheda United | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Waterford FC | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Galway United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
St Patricks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 21/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Galway United vs St Patricks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Galway United win (35%). Probabilities: Galway United 35%, draw 30%, St Patricks 35%.
How many goals are expected in Galway United vs St Patricks?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Galway United 1.19 · St Patricks 1.19), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Galway United vs St Patricks?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.