Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 23/10, 20:45
Prediction: Waterford FC vs Drogheda United
Team pages: Waterford FC · Drogheda United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Waterford FC1.88
Drogheda United0.93
1X2
Waterford FC
Draw
Drogheda United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Waterford FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Drogheda United
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Waterford FC
2–3–1
Drogheda United
(6 last)
- Drogheda United3-3Waterford FC
- Waterford FC2-1Drogheda United
- Drogheda United2-0Waterford FC
- Waterford FC2-0Drogheda United
- Drogheda United0-0Waterford FC
- Waterford FC2-2Drogheda United
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waterford FC (rating 1564 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Waterford FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Waterford FC | Drogheda United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.7 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC 2–3–1 Drogheda United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Drogheda United | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Waterford FC |
| 18/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Drogheda United |
| 13/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Drogheda United | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Waterford FC |
| 05/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Drogheda United |
| 08/08/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Drogheda United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Waterford FC |
| 30/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Drogheda United |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 65 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 62 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 27 | 59 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 46 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 51 | 56 | 42 |
| 6 | Derry City | 33 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 45 | 44 | 41 |
| 7 | Galway United | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | 41 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 54 | 37 |
| 9 | Waterford FC | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 56 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 60 | 24 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Waterford FC | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| Bohemians Dublin | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Shamrock Rovers | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Derry City | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Dundalk | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| St Patricks | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sligo Rovers | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Shelbourne | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Galway United | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Waterford FC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Waterford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/09 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/09 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 28/08 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 10/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Drogheda United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/10 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Waterford FC win (59%). Probabilities: Waterford FC 59%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 17%.
How many goals are expected in Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Waterford FC 1.88 · Drogheda United 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.