Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 25/09, 20:45
Prediction: Treaty United FC vs Finn Harps
Team pages: Treaty United FC · Finn Harps
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Treaty United FC1.97
Finn Harps0.99
1X2
Treaty United FC
Draw
Finn Harps
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Treaty United FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Finn Harps
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treaty United FC
3–1–2
Finn Harps
(6 last)
- Finn Harps0-1Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC3-0Finn Harps
- Finn Harps2-2Treaty United FC
- Finn Harps1-0Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC0-1Finn Harps
- Finn Harps0-2Treaty United FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Treaty United FC (rating 1481 vs 1388).
- H2H favours Treaty United FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treaty United FC | Finn Harps | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treaty United FC 3–1–2 Finn Harps
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Treaty United FC |
| 15/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Finn Harps |
| 13/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Treaty United FC |
| 29/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 27/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Finn Harps |
| 02/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Treaty United FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 69 | 30 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 61 | 44 | 50 |
| 3 | UCD | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 45 | 49 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 46 | 45 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 44 |
| 6 | Athlone Town | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 44 |
| 7 | Kerry FC | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 39 | 42 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 47 | 40 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 47 | 33 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 64 | 25 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treaty United FC | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Bray Wanderers | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Longford Town | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Wexford FC | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Kerry FC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Cork City | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| UCD | 2-1 W | 4-5 L |
| Athlone Town | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Treaty United FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Finn Harps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treaty United FC vs Finn Harps?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Treaty United FC win (59%). Probabilities: Treaty United FC 59%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 17%.
How many goals are expected in Treaty United FC vs Finn Harps?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Treaty United FC 1.97 · Finn Harps 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Treaty United FC vs Finn Harps?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.