Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 26/09, 20:30

Prediction: Longford Town vs Cork City

Team pages: Longford Town · Cork City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Longford Town1.7

Cork City1.76

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Longford Town Draw Cork City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Longford Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWDLLW

Cork City 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWDLW

Head-to-head

Longford Town 1–5 Cork City (6 last)

Cork City3-4Longford Town
Longford Town0-2Cork City
Cork City2-1Longford Town
Cork City3-2Longford Town
Cork City2-0Longford Town
Longford Town1-4Cork City

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cork City (rating 1477 vs 1541).
H2H favours Cork City: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Longford Town	Cork City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.5	4.3 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.39 → 4.39	Pinn 4.39
X	4.02 → 4.02	Pinn 4.02
2	1.68 → 1.68	Pinn 1.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:53 +260’	4.39	4.02	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 1–0–5 Cork City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Cork City	3-4 HT 1-2	Longford Town
16/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	0-2 HT 0-0	Cork City
13/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Cork City	2-1 HT 0-0	Longford Town
30/08/24 Republic of Ireland First Division	Cork City	3-2 HT 1-2	Longford Town
07/06/24 Republic of Ireland First Division	Cork City	2-0 HT 2-0	Longford Town
20/04/24 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	1-4 HT 1-2	Cork City

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	32	22	5	5	69	30	71
2	Bray Wanderers	32	14	8	10	61	44	50
3	UCD	32	14	7	11	56	45	49
4	Cobh Ramblers	32	13	6	13	39	46	45
5	Longford Town	32	12	8	12	42	41	44
6	Athlone Town	32	12	8	12	36	36	44
7	Kerry FC	32	11	9	12	39	39	42
8	Wexford FC	32	11	7	14	37	47	40
9	Treaty United FC	32	8	9	15	31	47	33
10	Finn Harps	32	6	7	19	29	64	25

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Longford Town	Cork City
Finn Harps	1-0 W	3-0 W
Treaty United FC	0-2 L	2-2 D
Kerry FC	0-1 L	3-1 W
Cobh Ramblers	2-2 D	2-3 L
Bray Wanderers	4-2 W	1-1 D
Athlone Town	1-2 L	3-2 W
Wexford FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cork City (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Longford Town

WLWWLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
12/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
05/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
28/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
22/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-1	4-2	4	6	W
07/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
03/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-0	5	5	W
31/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
25/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
10/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	4-3	8	2	W

Cork City

LLWWWDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	4-0	5-1	4	3	W
11/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-3	5	4	L
04/09	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
28/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
21/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
07/08	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	3-1	11	7	W
03/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	3-1	3-2	9	4	W
31/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	3-0	11	5	W
24/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	2-5	7	5	L
10/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	3-4	10	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Longford Town vs Cork City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cork City win (39%). Probabilities: Longford Town 37%, draw 24%, Cork City 39%.

How many goals are expected in Longford Town vs Cork City?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Longford Town 1.7 · Cork City 1.76), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Cork City?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.