Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 25/09, 20:45

Prediction: UCD vs Bray Wanderers

Team pages: UCD · Bray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

UCD1.75

Bray Wanderers1.94

1X2

35% 23% 42%

UCD Draw Bray Wanderers

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

UCD 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDWDDL

Bray Wanderers 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLDWW

Head-to-head

UCD 1–5 Bray Wanderers (6 last)

Bray Wanderers6-0UCD
UCD3-4Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers2-1UCD
Bray Wanderers3-2UCD
UCD0-1Bray Wanderers
UCD3-2Bray Wanderers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1467 vs 1550).
H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UCD	Bray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.4	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.81

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.28 → 2.28	Pinn 2.28
X	3.73 → 3.73	Pinn 3.73
2	2.78 → 2.78	Pinn 2.78

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:37 +188’	2.28	3.73	2.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UCD 1–0–5 Bray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	6-0 HT 2-0	UCD
15/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	3-4 HT 1-4	Bray Wanderers
13/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	2-1 HT 1-0	UCD
28/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	3-2 HT 1-1	UCD
24/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	0-1 HT 0-0	Bray Wanderers
29/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	3-2 HT 2-2	Bray Wanderers

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	32	22	5	5	69	30	71
2	Bray Wanderers	32	14	8	10	61	44	50
3	UCD	32	14	7	11	56	45	49
4	Cobh Ramblers	32	13	6	13	39	46	45
5	Longford Town	32	12	8	12	42	41	44
6	Athlone Town	32	12	8	12	36	36	44
7	Kerry FC	32	11	9	12	39	39	42
8	Wexford FC	32	11	7	14	37	47	40
9	Treaty United FC	32	8	9	15	31	47	33
10	Finn Harps	32	6	7	19	29	64	25

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UCD	Bray Wanderers
Cork City	1-5 L	1-1 D
Athlone Town	2-2 D	1-2 L
Cobh Ramblers	1-1 D	2-1 W
Finn Harps	5-4 W	5-0 W
Kerry FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Wexford FC	4-1 W	1-2 L
Treaty United FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bray Wanderers (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UCD

LWDLWDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-4	1-5	5	3	L
11/09	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
04/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
28/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	5-4	8	5	W
21/08	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
07/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	4-1	7	1	W
03/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
31/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
24/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	5-2	6	5	W
10/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-6	4	3	L

Bray Wanderers

WWLLWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
11/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
04/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
28/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
22/08	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-3	2-4	9	6	L
07/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
03/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	1-2	6	10	L
31/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
24/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
10/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	6-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UCD vs Bray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bray Wanderers win (42%). Probabilities: UCD 35%, draw 23%, Bray Wanderers 42%.

How many goals are expected in UCD vs Bray Wanderers?

The model expects 3.69 goals (UCD 1.75 · Bray Wanderers 1.94), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UCD vs Bray Wanderers?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.