Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 28/08, 17:00

Prediction: Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)

Team pages: Palestino (W) · Coquimbo Unido (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Palestino (W)1.31

Coquimbo Unido (W)1.94

1X2

25% 24% 51%

Palestino (W) Draw Coquimbo Unido (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Palestino (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWWWW

Coquimbo Unido (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Palestino (W) 1–3–2 Coquimbo Unido (W) (6 last)

Coquimbo Unido (W)1-1Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)1-1Coquimbo Unido (W)
Coquimbo Unido (W)0-0Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)4-1Coquimbo Unido (W)
Coquimbo Unido (W)2-0Palestino (W)
Coquimbo Unido (W)4-0Palestino (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino (W) 1506 · Coquimbo Unido (W) 1570

	Palestino (W)	Draw	Coquimbo Unido (W)
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	25%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (W) (rating 1506 vs 1570).
H2H favours Coquimbo Unido (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palestino (W)	Coquimbo Unido (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.7 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +3’	3.60	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino (W) 1–3–2 Coquimbo Unido (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Coquimbo Unido (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Palestino (W)
22/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Coquimbo Unido (W)
03/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Coquimbo Unido (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Palestino (W)
27/07/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	Coquimbo Unido (W)
13/04/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Coquimbo Unido (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)
30/09/23 Chile Primera Division Women	Coquimbo Unido (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	22	21	1	0	90	4	64
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	22	17	1	4	49	14	52
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	22	16	3	3	61	22	51
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	22	13	5	4	46	19	44
5	Palestino (W)	21	9	5	7	30	29	32
6	Huachipato (W)	21	8	5	8	23	35	29
7	Union Espanola (W)	21	7	5	9	19	24	26
8	Deportes Iquique (W)	20	7	3	10	31	29	24
9	Magallanes (W)	22	6	3	13	24	52	21
10	Santiago Wanderers (W)	23	5	5	13	18	38	20
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	21	4	4	13	14	42	16
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	22	4	2	16	21	58	14
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	21	2	0	19	20	80	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palestino (W)	Coquimbo Unido (W)
Magallanes (W)	4-1 W	2-2 D
Santiago Wanderers (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Union Espanola (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Huachipato (W)	2-0 W	4-0 W
Universidad de Chile (W)	0-0 D	6-4 W
Universidad Catolica (W)	0-5 L	2-3 L
Colo Colo (W)	0-4 L	0-3 L
Deportes Recoleta (W)	1-2 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino (W)

LLLLLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	4-1	10	4	W
16/08	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
12/08	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
02/08	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
12/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-4	2	0	L
08/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
03/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-3	2-3	7	2	L
20/06	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	3	6	L

Coquimbo Unido (W)

WWLLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	4-0	1	2	W
12/08	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
08/08	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-1	4-2	5	6	W
01/08	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
28/07	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-1	6-4	1	3	W
13/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-3	1	3	L
08/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
03/07	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
27/06	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	2-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coquimbo Unido (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Palestino (W) 25%, draw 24%, Coquimbo Unido (W) 51%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Palestino (W) 1.31 · Coquimbo Unido (W) 1.94), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.