Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 04/09, 18:00
Prediction: Magallanes (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)
Team pages: Magallanes (W) · Santiago Wanderers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Magallanes (W)1.43
Santiago Wanderers (W)1.84
1X2
Magallanes (W)
Draw
Santiago Wanderers (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Santiago Wanderers (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes (W)
0–1
Santiago Wanderers (W)
(1 last)
- Santiago Wanderers (W)2-0Magallanes (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes (W) 1453 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 1446
| Magallanes (W) | Draw | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 25% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 3.2 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.9 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 13/50/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes (W) 0–0–1 Santiago Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Magallanes (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 24 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 4 | 70 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 24 | 51 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola (W) | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 27 |
| 9 | Magallanes (W) | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 58 | 21 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 38 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 46 | 16 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 60 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 22 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 82 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-6 L | 2-6 L |
| Palestino (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-7 L | 2-0 W |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Huachipato (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Santiago Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 08/07 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Santiago Wanderers (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Magallanes (W) 29%, draw 25%, Santiago Wanderers (W) 46%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Magallanes (W) 1.43 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 1.84), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.