Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Deportes Iquique (W) vs Palestino (W)

Team pages: Deportes Iquique (W) · Palestino (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Deportes Iquique (W)1.59

Palestino (W)1.46

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Deportes Iquique (W) Draw Palestino (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Iquique (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLDWL

Palestino (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Deportes Iquique (W) 3–1–2 Palestino (W) (6 last)

Palestino (W)3-1Deportes Iquique (W)
Deportes Iquique (W)1-0Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)2-5Deportes Iquique (W)
Palestino (W)1-1Deportes Iquique (W)
Deportes Iquique (W)3-0Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)3-0Deportes Iquique (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique (W) 1510 · Palestino (W) 1536

	Deportes Iquique (W)	Draw	Palestino (W)
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportes Iquique (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Iquique (W)	Palestino (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.9	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
19:40 +7’	2.25	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique (W) 3–1–2 Palestino (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Deportes Iquique (W)
31/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Deportes Iquique (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)
23/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	2-5 HT 0-1	Deportes Iquique (W)
30/06/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportes Iquique (W)
17/03/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Deportes Iquique (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)
21/05/23 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Deportes Iquique (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	24	23	1	0	100	4	70
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	23	18	1	4	51	14	55
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	23	16	3	4	61	24	51
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	23	13	5	5	46	21	44
5	Palestino (W)	22	10	5	7	32	29	35
6	Union Espanola (W)	23	9	5	9	25	25	32
7	Huachipato (W)	21	8	5	8	23	35	29
8	Deportes Iquique (W)	22	8	3	11	33	34	27
9	Magallanes (W)	24	7	3	14	30	58	24
10	Santiago Wanderers (W)	24	5	5	14	18	44	20
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	22	4	4	14	15	46	16
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	23	4	2	17	22	60	14
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	22	2	0	20	20	82	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Iquique (W)	Palestino (W)
Colo Colo (W)	0-4 L	0-4 L
Deportes Temuco (W)	2-1 W	2-3 L
Universidad Catolica (W)	1-1 D	0-5 L
Universidad de Chile (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Santiago Wanderers (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Magallanes (W)	7-1 W	4-1 W
Union Espanola (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Deportes Recoleta (W)	4-0 W	1-2 L
Coquimbo Unido (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (W) (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Iquique (W)

LWWWLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-4	0	1	L
28/08	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
23/08	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
20/08	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-1	5-1	1	3	W
08/08	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
02/08	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	7-1	7	2	W
08/07	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
04/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	4-0	–	–	W
27/06	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-2	8	2	L

Palestino (W)

LLLLDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
21/08	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	4-1	10	4	W
16/08	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
12/08	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
02/08	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
12/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-4	2	0	L
08/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
03/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-3	2-3	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Palestino (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Iquique (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique (W) 40%, draw 26%, Palestino (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Palestino (W)?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Deportes Iquique (W) 1.59 · Palestino (W) 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Palestino (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.