Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 05/09, 23:00
Prediction: Universidad de Chile (W) vs Huachipato (W)
Team pages: Universidad de Chile (W) · Huachipato (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Universidad de Chile (W)2.63
Huachipato (W)0.63
1X2
Universidad de Chile (W)
Draw
Huachipato (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Chile (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Huachipato (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Chile (W)
4–1–0
Huachipato (W)
(5 last)
- Huachipato (W)0-1Universidad de Chile (W)
- Universidad de Chile (W)3-0Huachipato (W)
- Huachipato (W)1-1Universidad de Chile (W)
- Huachipato (W)1-2Universidad de Chile (W)
- Universidad de Chile (W)4-0Huachipato (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Chile (W) 1564 · Huachipato (W) 1486
| Universidad de Chile (W) | Draw | Huachipato (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 85% | 11% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1564 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile (W): 4-1-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Chile (W) | Huachipato (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/11/33% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7.8 | 1.1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Chile (W) 4–1–0 Huachipato (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Huachipato (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 07/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Huachipato (W) |
| 01/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Huachipato (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 08/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Huachipato (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 14/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Huachipato (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 24 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 4 | 70 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 24 | 51 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola (W) | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 27 |
| 9 | Magallanes (W) | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 58 | 24 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 44 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 46 | 16 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 60 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 22 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 82 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Chile (W) | Huachipato (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Union Espanola (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-1 L | 0-7 L |
| Palestino (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 4-6 L | 0-4 L |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Magallanes (W) | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (W) (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 28/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
Huachipato (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/08 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 26/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Chile (W) vs Huachipato (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Chile (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Universidad de Chile (W) 82%, draw 13%, Huachipato (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Chile (W) vs Huachipato (W)?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Universidad de Chile (W) 2.63 · Huachipato (W) 0.63), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile (W) vs Huachipato (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.