Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 28/08, 17:00
Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Union Espanola (W)
Team pages: Universidad de Concepcion (W) · Union Espanola (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Universidad de Concepcion (W)0.85
Union Espanola (W)1.4
1X2
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Draw
Union Espanola (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Union Espanola (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
0–2–3
Union Espanola (W)
(5 last)
- Union Espanola (W)1-0Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-2Union Espanola (W)
- Union Espanola (W)1-1Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-0Union Espanola (W)
- Union Espanola (W)4-1Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1410 · Union Espanola (W) 1451
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Draw | Union Espanola (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 30% | 49% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (W) (rating 1410 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Union Espanola (W): 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Union Espanola (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.3 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/13/75% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0–2–3 Union Espanola (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 27/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 27/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 13/09/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 16/06/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 22 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 4 | 64 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 14 | 52 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 51 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 19 | 44 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | Huachipato (W) | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
| 7 | Union Espanola (W) | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 24 |
| 9 | Magallanes (W) | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 52 | 21 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 38 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 42 | 16 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 58 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 21 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 20 | 80 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Union Espanola (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Huachipato (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Magallanes (W) | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Espanola (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Union Espanola (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 08/07 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Espanola (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion (W) 23%, draw 27%, Union Espanola (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0.85 · Union Espanola (W) 1.4), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.