Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 12/08, 17:00

Prediction: Palestino (W) vs Union Espanola (W)

Team pages: Palestino (W) · Union Espanola (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Palestino (W)1.22

Union Espanola (W)1.28

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Palestino (W) Draw Union Espanola (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Palestino (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLDW

Union Espanola (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Palestino (W) 3–1–1 Union Espanola (W) (5 last)

Union Espanola (W)0-2Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)3-0Union Espanola (W)
Union Espanola (W)2-0Palestino (W)
Union Espanola (W)1-1Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)2-1Union Espanola (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino (W) 1477 · Union Espanola (W) 1487

	Palestino (W)	Draw	Union Espanola (W)
Our model	34%	30%	37%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Palestino (W): 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palestino (W)	Union Espanola (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	22/67/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.2	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:56 +11’	2.60	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino (W) 3–1–1 Union Espanola (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Union Espanola (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Palestino (W)
07/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	Union Espanola (W)
19/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Union Espanola (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)
11/08/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Union Espanola (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)
28/04/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Union Espanola (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	19	18	1	0	70	2	55
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	19	16	0	3	44	10	48
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	19	13	3	3	54	19	42
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	19	11	4	4	36	17	37
5	Union Espanola (W)	18	7	5	6	18	20	26
6	Palestino (W)	18	6	5	7	24	28	23
7	Huachipato (W)	17	6	4	7	18	29	22
8	Santiago Wanderers (W)	19	5	5	9	15	25	20
9	Deportes Iquique (W)	17	6	2	9	24	25	20
10	Magallanes (W)	19	5	2	12	17	45	17
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	18	4	3	11	12	32	15
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	19	2	2	15	16	52	8
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	17	2	0	15	18	62	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palestino (W)	Union Espanola (W)
Huachipato (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Colo Colo (W)	0-4 L	0-2 L
Deportes Recoleta (W)	1-2 L	5-2 W
Deportes Temuco (W)	2-3 L	1-1 D
Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Union Espanola (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino (W)

WDLLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
02/08	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
12/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-4	2	0	L
08/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
03/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-3	2-3	7	2	L
20/06	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
13/06	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-3	0	7	L
31/05	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
24/05	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	5-0	3	3	W

Union Espanola (W)

DWWWWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-1	1-1	8	1	D
01/08	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-3	0-4	4	4	L
25/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
11/07	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
08/07	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
27/06	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
19/06	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
13/06	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
30/05	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-1	5-2	8	5	W
23/05	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Espanola (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Palestino (W) 34%, draw 29%, Union Espanola (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Palestino (W) 1.22 · Union Espanola (W) 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.