Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 16/08, 17:30

Prediction: Palestino (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)

Team pages: Palestino (W) · Santiago Wanderers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Palestino (W)1.51

Santiago Wanderers (W)0.75

1X2

55% 27% 18%

Palestino (W) Draw Santiago Wanderers (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Palestino (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLDWW

Santiago Wanderers (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDWDWL

Head-to-head

Palestino (W) 0–2–1 Santiago Wanderers (W) (3 last)

Santiago Wanderers (W)0-0Palestino (W)
Santiago Wanderers (W)1-0Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)1-1Santiago Wanderers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino (W) 1461 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 1489

	Palestino (W)	Draw	Santiago Wanderers (W)
Our model	54%	28%	17%
Market	56%	25%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palestino (W)	Santiago Wanderers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	13/75/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.1	1.6 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:50 +5’	1.60	3.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino (W) 0–2–1 Santiago Wanderers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Santiago Wanderers (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Palestino (W)
13/09/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Santiago Wanderers (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)
13/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Santiago Wanderers (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	20	19	1	0	76	4	58
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	21	17	0	4	48	13	51
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	19	13	3	3	54	19	42
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	20	11	5	4	38	19	38
5	Palestino (W)	19	7	5	7	25	28	26
6	Huachipato (W)	19	7	5	7	22	31	26
7	Union Espanola (W)	19	7	5	7	18	21	26
8	Magallanes (W)	21	6	3	12	23	48	21
9	Santiago Wanderers (W)	20	5	5	10	17	31	20
10	Deportes Iquique (W)	17	6	2	9	24	25	20
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	19	4	4	11	13	33	16
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	19	2	2	15	16	52	8
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	19	2	0	17	19	69	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palestino (W)	Santiago Wanderers (W)
Union Espanola (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Huachipato (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Universidad Catolica (W)	0-5 L	0-2 L
Colo Colo (W)	0-4 L	2-6 L
Deportes Recoleta (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Deportes Temuco (W)	2-3 L	1-0 W
Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino (W)

DLLLLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
02/08	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
12/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-4	2	0	L
08/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
03/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-3	2-3	7	2	L
20/06	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
13/06	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-3	0	7	L
31/05	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

Santiago Wanderers (W)

WLLLLDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	2-6	1	0	L
08/08	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	2-0	4	0	W
03/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
26/07	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
11/07	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
08/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/07	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-2	0	5	L
26/06	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
20/06	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
29/05	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palestino (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Palestino (W) 55%, draw 27%, Santiago Wanderers (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Palestino (W) 1.51 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 0.75), with a 60% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.