Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 21/08, 17:00
Prediction: Magallanes (W) vs Palestino (W)
Team pages: Magallanes (W) · Palestino (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Magallanes (W)1.09
Palestino (W)2.04
1X2
Magallanes (W)
Draw
Palestino (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Palestino (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes (W)
0–1
Palestino (W)
(1 last)
- Palestino (W)2-0Magallanes (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes (W) 1474 · Palestino (W) 1483
| Magallanes (W) | Draw | Palestino (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes (W) | Palestino (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes (W) 0–0–1 Palestino (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Palestino (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 4 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 21 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 48 | 13 | 51 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 29 |
| 6 | Union Espanola (W) | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 26 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 35 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 28 | 23 |
| 9 | Magallanes (W) | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 48 | 21 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 32 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 16 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 57 | 8 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 19 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | 69 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes (W) | Palestino (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Huachipato (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Union Espanola (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Palestino (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/07 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes (W) vs Palestino (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Palestino (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Magallanes (W) 19%, draw 23%, Palestino (W) 58%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes (W) vs Palestino (W)?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Magallanes (W) 1.09 · Palestino (W) 2.04), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes (W) vs Palestino (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.