Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Team pages: Deportes Iquique (W) · Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Deportes Iquique (W)1.64
Universidad de Concepcion (W)0.81
1X2
Deportes Iquique (W)
Draw
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Iquique (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Iquique (W)
2–2–2
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
(6 last)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)1-1Deportes Iquique (W)
- Deportes Iquique (W)1-2Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-2Deportes Iquique (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)1-0Deportes Iquique (W)
- Deportes Iquique (W)1-0Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Deportes Iquique (W)1-1Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique (W) 1470 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1444
| Deportes Iquique (W) | Draw | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Iquique (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 22/11/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique (W) 2–2–2 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 23/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 03/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 01/09/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 18/05/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 19/08/23 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 20 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 4 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 21 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 48 | 13 | 51 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 38 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 26 |
| 6 | Huachipato (W) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 26 |
| 7 | Union Espanola (W) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 26 |
| 8 | Magallanes (W) | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 48 | 21 |
| 9 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 25 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 16 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 52 | 8 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 19 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | 69 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Iquique (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Magallanes (W) | 7-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Union Espanola (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Iquique (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Iquique (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique (W) 57%, draw 25%, Universidad de Concepcion (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Deportes Iquique (W) 1.64 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.