Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 12/08, 17:00

Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Huachipato (W)

Team pages: Universidad de Concepcion (W) · Huachipato (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Universidad de Concepcion (W)1.18

Huachipato (W)1.23

1X2

35% 28% 37%

Universidad de Concepcion (W) Draw Huachipato (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDLDLLWLLL

Huachipato (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDWDL

Head-to-head

Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0–1–2 Huachipato (W) (3 last)

Huachipato (W)1-0Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-1Huachipato (W)
Huachipato (W)1-1Universidad de Concepcion (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1428 · Huachipato (W) 1498

	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	Draw	Huachipato (W)
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huachipato (W) (rating 1428 vs 1498).
H2H favours Huachipato (W): 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	Huachipato (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/22/67%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.3	1.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.3	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	2.35 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:23 +4’	2.50	3.40	2.35
19:59 +8’	2.45▼	3.50▲	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0–1–2 Huachipato (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Huachipato (W)	1-0	Universidad de Concepcion (W)
22/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Huachipato (W)
20/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Huachipato (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Universidad de Concepcion (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	19	18	1	0	70	2	55
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	19	16	0	3	44	10	48
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	19	13	3	3	54	19	42
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	19	11	4	4	36	17	37
5	Union Espanola (W)	18	7	5	6	18	20	26
6	Palestino (W)	18	6	5	7	24	28	23
7	Huachipato (W)	17	6	4	7	18	29	22
8	Santiago Wanderers (W)	19	5	5	9	15	25	20
9	Deportes Iquique (W)	17	6	2	9	24	25	20
10	Magallanes (W)	19	5	2	12	17	45	17
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	18	4	3	11	12	32	15
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	19	2	2	15	16	52	8
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	17	2	0	15	18	62	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	Huachipato (W)
Colo Colo (W)	0-2 L	0-7 L
Santiago Wanderers (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Magallanes (W)	1-3 L	1-1 D
Deportes Temuco (W)	1-0 W	3-2 W
Union Espanola (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Palestino (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Huachipato (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad de Concepcion (W)

DDLDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
26/07	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
12/07	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-3	1-3	7	6	L
08/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/07	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	0	1	L
27/06	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
22/06	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
13/06	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
31/05	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
23/05	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Huachipato (W)

WDLWWLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
03/08	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
11/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	3-2	7	2	W
03/07	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
26/06	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-4	0-7	1	1	L
20/06	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
13/06	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
31/05	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-5	2	1	L
23/05	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Huachipato (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Huachipato (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion (W) 35%, draw 28%, Huachipato (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Huachipato (W)?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1.18 · Huachipato (W) 1.23), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Huachipato (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.